{ "ticker": { "uuid": "fbb3b6ca-1bd8-4604-8949-e949c7c4f9ad", "symbol": "6718", "name": "Crescendo Corporation Berhad", "exchange": "KLS", "country": "MY", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-21", "benchmark": "^KLSE", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 75.875, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 33.078, "architecture_energy": 23.927, "architecture_maturity": 41.399, "architecture_confidence": 75.922, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 45.1, "rotation_up": 25.95, "upward_expansion": 57.5, "deceleration": 86.55, "rotation_down": 32.09, "downward_expansion": 18.84 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.243333, 1.250364, 1.242905, 1.234667 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 1.24, "trend_reference": 1.230333, "distance_from_trend": 0.007857, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 1.079643, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.148528, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -2.546065, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.015873, "excess_performance": -0.006545, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.007857, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.003201, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.148528, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.085299, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.025461, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.000586, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.015873, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.120327, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 242600, "relative_activity": 0.899651, "balance": 0.120327, "dry_up": 0.821683, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.01799, "annualized_volatility": 0.093609, "from_high_reference": -0.116396, "from_low_reference": 0.117117 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.230333, "fair_value_reference": 1.079643, "structural_low": 1.11, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.016393, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": 0.036635, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.417914, "worst_return": -0.047619, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.033064, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.046357, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 1.156721, "worst_return": -0.015873, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.032521, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.017704, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 1.957716, "worst_return": -0.015873, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"fair_value": 1.062923, "relative_strength": -1.303949, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 34.082258, "energy": 55.03116, "activity_lines": [ 1.263333, 1.253455, 1.239429, 1.233162 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.24, "volume": 280100, "typical_volume": 410135.0, "trend": 1.232333, "fair_value": 1.068508, "relative_strength": -2.648139, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": 55.369703, "energy": 38.274424, "activity_lines": [ 1.254667, 1.252545, 1.24081, 1.23357 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 1.24, "volume": 162700, "typical_volume": 346250.0, "trend": 1.230667, "fair_value": 1.074094, "relative_strength": -2.089601, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": 39.754936, "energy": 22.198762, "activity_lines": [ 1.248, 1.251636, 1.242, 1.234065 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-21", "close": 1.24, "volume": 242600, "typical_volume": 269660.0, "trend": 1.230333, "fair_value": 1.079643, "relative_strength": -2.546065, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 33.078058, "energy": 23.927218, "activity_lines": [ 1.243333, 1.250364, 1.242905, 1.234667 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }