{ "ticker": { "uuid": "fbbf606c-6158-4b2c-b6d2-b9667e2ed2c3", "symbol": "NIRAJISPAT", "name": "Niraj Ispat Industries Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 88.056, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -38.637, "architecture_energy": 20.988, "architecture_maturity": 35.381, "architecture_confidence": 95.536, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 37.5, "rotation_up": 26.19, "upward_expansion": 16.19, "deceleration": 41.83, "rotation_down": 37.91, "downward_expansion": 66.19 }, "activity_lines": [ 207.830668, 204.873092, 211.096096, 216.581012 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 216.0, "trend_reference": 223.086335, "distance_from_trend": -0.031765, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 249.37619, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.133839, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -12.781206, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.160872, "excess_performance": -0.117163, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.031765, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.012173, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.133839, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.121471, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.127812, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.003801, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.160872, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.457602, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 298, "relative_activity": 0.495882, "balance": 0.457602, "dry_up": 0.364423, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.088045, "annualized_volatility": 0.728124, "from_high_reference": -0.555327, "from_low_reference": 0.393548 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 223.086335, "fair_value_reference": 249.37619, 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"trend": 225.236668, "fair_value": 252.502542, "relative_strength": -22.905664, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -25.51039, "energy": 20.453013, "activity_lines": [ 218.991999, 225.103091, 226.796525, 226.876302 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-19", "close": 209.720001, "volume": 130, "typical_volume": 2184.8, "trend": 224.294002, "fair_value": 252.143025, "relative_strength": -24.816029, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -30.669138, "energy": 35.475616, "activity_lines": [ 215.108, 222.427637, 224.375144, 225.875227 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 203.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1711.1, "trend": 223.799668, "fair_value": 251.733499, "relative_strength": -26.4148, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -38.446587, "energy": 51.21969, "activity_lines": [ 210.409333, 218.244546, 221.143667, 224.501421 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 199.389999, "volume": 326, "typical_volume": 1133.55, "trend": 223.446668, "fair_value": 251.300909, "relative_strength": -26.824148, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.710316, "energy": 64.304899, "activity_lines": [ 205.374, 213.554364, 217.827477, 222.926603 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 194.0, "volume": 1057, "typical_volume": 850.95, "trend": 222.656002, "fair_value": 250.831229, "relative_strength": -26.620309, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.860557, "energy": 68.4165, "activity_lines": [ 200.616667, 208.527818, 214.765334, 221.026818 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 191.0, "volume": 258, "typical_volume": 742.55, "trend": 222.189668, "fair_value": 250.344796, "relative_strength": -26.272042, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.57392, "energy": 69.426298, "activity_lines": [ 196.326, 203.914909, 212.038619, 218.984495 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 190.5, "volume": 124, "typical_volume": 703.3, "trend": 221.676668, "fair_value": 249.862177, "relative_strength": -23.021985, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.997026, "energy": 73.206322, "activity_lines": [ 193.352, 200.297273, 209.710619, 216.940001 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 222.490005, "volume": 196, "typical_volume": 630.55, "trend": 222.377668, "fair_value": 249.6432, "relative_strength": -10.834287, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.110295, "energy": 33.484445, "activity_lines": [ 202.322668, 203.234183, 210.689762, 216.992474 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 216.0, "volume": 298, "typical_volume": 600.95, "trend": 223.086335, "fair_value": 249.37619, "relative_strength": -12.781206, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -38.637188, "energy": 20.987709, "activity_lines": [ 207.830668, 204.873092, 211.096096, 216.581012 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }