{ "ticker": { "uuid": "fbc68228-2a5a-4401-98f4-2a78a4542c69", "symbol": "DOL", "name": "WISDOMTREE TRUE DEVELOPED INTERNATIONAL FUND", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 74.615, "architecture_energy": 54.434, "architecture_maturity": 39.728, "architecture_confidence": 87.23, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 26.03, "rotation_up": 58.43, "upward_expansion": 81.88, "deceleration": 52.77, "rotation_down": 20.71, "downward_expansion": 8.55 }, "activity_lines": [ 75.25992, 74.722134, 73.866608, 72.896513 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 76.8321, "trend_reference": 71.797871, "distance_from_trend": 0.070117, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 55.596407, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.381962, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 0.900637, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.077461, "excess_performance": -0.048163, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.070117, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.049085, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.381962, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.003698, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.009006, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.00663, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.077461, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.861781, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 205305, "relative_activity": 2.566409, "balance": 2.861781, "dry_up": 1.095904, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.028017, "annualized_volatility": 0.185504, "from_high_reference": -0.003462, "from_low_reference": 0.285602 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 71.797871, "fair_value_reference": 55.596407, "structural_low": 63.014834, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 38, "median_return": 0.007834, "positive_rate": 0.552632, "directional_follow_through": 0.552632, "median_excess_return": -0.009162, "regime_survival": 0.710526, "best_return": 0.079755, "worst_return": -0.069089, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": 0.039491, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": -0.011071, "regime_survival": 0.642857, "best_return": 0.140519, "worst_return": -0.078007, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.045699, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.056051, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.132807, "worst_return": -0.114032, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"fair_value": 54.987727, "relative_strength": 0.687076, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 54.614398, "energy": 34.541092, "activity_lines": [ 73.991411, 73.838999, 72.865602, 72.085273 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 73.8949, "volume": 44122, "typical_volume": 86509.3, "trend": 71.183652, "fair_value": 55.175406, "relative_strength": 1.76178, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 43.577413, "energy": 30.021896, "activity_lines": [ 73.90354, 73.904459, 73.088188, 72.277894 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 75.42, "volume": 51196, "typical_volume": 76945.05, "trend": 71.479854, "fair_value": 55.381528, "relative_strength": 2.604526, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.207358, "energy": 39.402691, "activity_lines": [ 74.415713, 74.206379, 73.429817, 72.551207 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 76.8321, "volume": 205305, "typical_volume": 79997.0, "trend": 71.797871, "fair_value": 55.596407, "relative_strength": 0.900637, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 74.61533, "energy": 54.433672, "activity_lines": [ 75.25992, 74.722134, 73.866608, 72.896513 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }