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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^KS11", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 72.131, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 90.746, "architecture_energy": 76.722, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 56.657, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 2.6, "rotation_up": 80.51, "upward_expansion": 90.0, "deceleration": 55.16, "rotation_down": 17.24, "downward_expansion": 12.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 112285.666667, 112196.727273, 112022.857143, 111853.064516 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 112360.0, "trend_reference": 111612.0, "distance_from_trend": 0.006702, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 108174.116787, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.038696, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -20.572175, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.012024, "excess_performance": -0.217804, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.006702, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.004452, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.038696, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.001302, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.205722, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.265402, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.012024, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 5.0, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 70640, "relative_activity": 0.340475, "balance": 5.0, "dry_up": 0.479645, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.000647, "annualized_volatility": 0.001265, "from_high_reference": -0.008171, "from_low_reference": 0.022427 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 111612.0, "fair_value_reference": 108174.116787, "structural_low": 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"upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 86.862423, "energy": 86.91116, "activity_lines": [ 112175.333333, 112087.727273, 111917.119048, 111750.247312 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 112310.0, "volume": 157648, "typical_volume": 215453.25, "trend": 111563.0, "fair_value": 108115.169471, "relative_strength": -25.689982, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 91.889558, "energy": 81.001282, "activity_lines": [ 112230.666667, 112142.454545, 111970.071429, 111801.645161 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 112360.0, "volume": 70640, "typical_volume": 207474.75, "trend": 111612.0, "fair_value": 108174.116787, "relative_strength": -20.572175, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 90.746491, "energy": 76.722187, "activity_lines": [ 112285.666667, 112196.727273, 112022.857143, 111853.064516 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }