{ "ticker": { "uuid": "fbead6ba-7061-4dc4-836c-f6aac3370c83", "symbol": "600158", "name": "China Sports Industry Group Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -62.357, "architecture_energy": 57.755, "architecture_maturity": 41.425, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 18.51, "rotation_up": 24.6, "upward_expansion": 10.66, "deceleration": 54.33, "rotation_down": 52.9, "downward_expansion": 81.66 }, "activity_lines": [ 6.852, 6.934182, 8.432714, 9.103075 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 7.04, "trend_reference": 9.633, "distance_from_trend": -0.269179, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 8.580493, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.179534, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -24.224482, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.260504, "excess_performance": -0.2173, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.269179, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.051901, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price 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"Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": 0.002189, "positive_rate": 0.533333, "directional_follow_through": 0.466667, "median_excess_return": 0.004003, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.18845, "worst_return": -0.182127, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.040783, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.024337, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.132394, "worst_return": -0.119578, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.023446, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.018117, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.130986, "worst_return": -0.032529, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, 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88.860522, "activity_lines": [ 6.639333, 7.662545, 9.273143, 9.650473 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 6.6, "volume": 303676508, "typical_volume": 310207274.45, "trend": 9.745, "fair_value": 8.616862, "relative_strength": -27.364394, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.037837, "energy": 82.551898, "activity_lines": [ 6.564667, 7.236727, 8.94419, 9.44271 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 7.13, "volume": 292305566, "typical_volume": 311486030.75, "trend": 9.689333, "fair_value": 8.597914, "relative_strength": -21.530556, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.764679, "energy": 65.82589, "activity_lines": [ 6.734, 7.052364, 8.683857, 9.274 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 7.04, "volume": 173826333, "typical_volume": 309178580.25, "trend": 9.633, "fair_value": 8.580493, "relative_strength": -24.224482, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.356676, "energy": 57.755387, "activity_lines": [ 6.852, 6.934182, 8.432714, 9.103075 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }