{ "ticker": { "uuid": "fbf02629-062f-4fdc-82da-f9af0cf60a1c", "symbol": "SLDP", "name": "Solid Power Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -64.619, "architecture_energy": 70.666, "architecture_maturity": 66.0, "architecture_confidence": 94.766, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.66, "rotation_up": 15.82, "upward_expansion": 15.78, "deceleration": 38.92, "rotation_down": 68.45, "downward_expansion": 91.44 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.204667, 2.339636, 2.628976, 2.815968 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 2.33, "trend_reference": 3.194167, "distance_from_trend": -0.270545, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2.416878, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.035946, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -49.628745, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.410127, "excess_performance": -0.59758, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.270545, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.223303, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.035946, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.317597, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.496287, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.152225, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.410127, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.477207, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 23834222, "relative_activity": 0.870456, "balance": 0.477207, "dry_up": 0.751606, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.170845, "annualized_volatility": 0.518641, "from_high_reference": -0.73702, "from_low_reference": 0.176768 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.194167, "fair_value_reference": 2.416878, "structural_low": 1.98, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 26, "median_return": -0.013423, "positive_rate": 0.461538, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.05888, "regime_survival": 0.846154, "best_return": 0.836207, "worst_return": -0.450549, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.057692, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.233451, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 1.20354, "worst_return": -0.354545, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.072581, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.171926, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 4.185841, "worst_return": -0.531868, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.838755, "energy": 62.39163, "activity_lines": [ 2.532667, 2.717182, 2.912214, 3.131817 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 2.31, "volume": 19211153, "typical_volume": 27299645.7, "trend": 3.460833, "fair_value": 2.42489, "relative_strength": -49.708852, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.205122, "energy": 69.692657, "activity_lines": [ 2.429333, 2.621455, 2.84419, 3.052452 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2.08, "volume": 18345130, "typical_volume": 27059623.2, "trend": 3.3805, "fair_value": 2.42066, "relative_strength": -53.357235, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.726761, "energy": 78.167206, "activity_lines": [ 2.282, 2.497818, 2.760119, 2.963366 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.06, "volume": 20929337, "typical_volume": 27228766.05, "trend": 3.294167, "fair_value": 2.417262, "relative_strength": -53.697306, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.481645, "energy": 78.489145, "activity_lines": [ 2.180667, 2.385091, 2.679095, 2.878172 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.33, "volume": 23834222, "typical_volume": 27381300.2, "trend": 3.194167, "fair_value": 2.416878, "relative_strength": -49.628745, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.618508, "energy": 70.665721, "activity_lines": [ 2.204667, 2.339636, 2.628976, 2.815968 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }