{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "fbfd14cf-f5d5-414e-9d9e-6738a0bafd5f",
    "symbol": "000758",
    "name": "China Nonferrous Metal Industry's Foreign Engineering and Construction Co.,Ltd.",
    "exchange": "SHZ",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "399001.SZ",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 95.978,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -62.563,
    "architecture_energy": 64.318,
    "architecture_maturity": 19.606,
    "architecture_confidence": 83.694,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 14.12,
        "rotation_up": 13.21,
        "upward_expansion": 13.17,
        "deceleration": 40.99,
        "rotation_down": 67.36,
        "downward_expansion": 86.51
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        5.918,
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        6.395196,
        6.611648
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 6.25,
    "trend_reference": 6.90665,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.095075,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 5.46571,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.143493,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -10.013773,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.210859,
    "excess_performance": -0.218258,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.095075,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.002746,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.143493,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.25847,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.100138,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.054526,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.210859,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.134712,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 165760930,
      "relative_activity": 0.955238,
      "balance": 1.134712,
      "dry_up": 0.886659,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.079517,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.513751,
      "from_high_reference": -0.344176,
      "from_low_reference": 0.148897
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 6.90665,
      "fair_value_reference": 5.46571,
      "structural_low": 5.44,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 19,
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        "positive_rate": 0.578947,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.421053,
        "median_excess_return": 0.022528,
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        "worst_return": -0.129944,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
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        "positive_rate": 0.714286,
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        "regime_survival": 0.285714,
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        "worst_return": -0.187384,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
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        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
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        "regime_survival": 0.2,
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        "worst_return": -0.105751,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "worst_return": 0.09833,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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      },
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
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      {
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 185045666.8,
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        "fair_value": 5.448923,
        "relative_strength": -16.696209,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "direction": -74.145921,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 5.98,
        "volume": 134769506,
        "typical_volume": 177672139.9,
        "trend": 6.91965,
        "fair_value": 5.456261,
        "relative_strength": -9.620934,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -66.148248,
        "energy": 80.091868,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 6.25,
        "volume": 165760930,
        "typical_volume": 173528470.95,
        "trend": 6.90665,
        "fair_value": 5.46571,
        "relative_strength": -10.013773,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -62.562737,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}