{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "fbff1c4b-c897-4e68-9ec3-ef8ea621dac4",
    "symbol": "1409",
    "name": "Shinkong Synthetic Fibers Corporation",
    "exchange": "TAI",
    "country": "TW",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-14",
    "benchmark": "^TWII",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 35.722,
    "architecture_energy": 24.546,
    "architecture_maturity": 79.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 93.42,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 41.59,
        "rotation_up": 23.69,
        "upward_expansion": 55.17,
        "deceleration": 91.13,
        "rotation_down": 34.74,
        "downward_expansion": 21.17
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        23.3,
        24.4,
        23.445,
        21.760537
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.0
    },
    "latest_close": 25.25,
    "trend_reference": 19.613333,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.28739,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 15.40748,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.638814,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 6.441201,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.688963,
    "excess_performance": 0.247591,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.28739,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.20512,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.638814,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.486735,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.064412,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.272627,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.688963,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.765221,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 86394186,
      "relative_activity": 1.072745,
      "balance": 2.765221,
      "dry_up": 0.812014,
      "accumulation_observations": 6,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.148515,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.627712,
      "from_high_reference": -0.185484,
      "from_low_reference": 1.11667
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 19.613333,
      "fair_value_reference": 15.40748,
      "structural_low": 14.5,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.006734,
        "positive_rate": 0.571429,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.571429,
        "median_excess_return": -0.003472,
        "regime_survival": 0.428571,
        "best_return": 0.213483,
        "worst_return": -0.059859,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.01619,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.074266,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.124579,
        "worst_return": -0.050279,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.084338,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.127534,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.165493,
        "worst_return": -0.086337,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.147277,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.274911,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.060554,
        "worst_return": -0.234,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2023-12-01",
        "end": "2024-01-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.041534,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-02-02",
        "end": "2024-03-01",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.009934,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-03-08",
        "end": "2024-03-15",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.003115,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2024-06-14",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.041139,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-06-21",
        "end": "2024-07-05",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.056548,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2024-08-09",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.114206,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2024-11-01",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.004762,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-11-08",
        "end": "2025-08-08",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.177994,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-09-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.086425,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "return": 0.080986,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "end": "2026-01-02",
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        "return": -0.089506,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "return": 0.047138,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "end": "2026-08-14",
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        "return": 0.122222,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
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        "date": "2026-07-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
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        "typical_volume": 79054093.0,
        "trend": 19.008333,
        "fair_value": 15.294224,
        "relative_strength": -7.001111,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 22.5,
        "volume": 42378682,
        "typical_volume": 77382752.85,
        "trend": 19.266667,
        "fair_value": 15.342318,
        "relative_strength": -1.596413,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 29.376487,
        "energy": 26.469162,
        "activity_lines": [
          22.713333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-14",
        "close": 25.25,
        "volume": 86394186,
        "typical_volume": 80535628.0,
        "trend": 19.613333,
        "fair_value": 15.40748,
        "relative_strength": 6.441201,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 24.545909,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}