{ "ticker": { "uuid": "fbffdb96-6605-4c75-a92b-ecbfdce86d82", "symbol": "UTHR", "name": "United Therapeutics Corporation", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 73.19, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Momentum cooling", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 3.439, "architecture_energy": 22.426, "architecture_maturity": 35.893, "architecture_confidence": 75.117, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 50.15, "rotation_up": 20.41, "upward_expansion": 46.83, "deceleration": 68.79, "rotation_down": 39.28, "downward_expansion": 38.5 }, "activity_lines": [ 531.256667, 536.533636, 546.01619, 542.953978 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 538.84, "trend_reference": 530.702667, "distance_from_trend": 0.015333, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 357.664359, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.506552, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -3.683651, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.110186, "excess_performance": -0.077267, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.015333, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.034776, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.506552, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.199408, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.036837, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.13915, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.110186, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.547092, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3890247, "relative_activity": 1.544497, "balance": 0.547092, "dry_up": 1.005019, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.047953, "annualized_volatility": 0.258521, "from_high_reference": -0.115713, "from_low_reference": 0.843196 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 530.702667, "fair_value_reference": 357.664359, "structural_low": 464.44, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.02543, "positive_rate": 0.461538, "directional_follow_through": 0.461538, "median_excess_return": 0.016573, "regime_survival": 0.692308, "best_return": 0.280118, "worst_return": -0.119395, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.031426, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.043409, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.209451, "worst_return": -0.150825, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.029546, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.093181, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.175081, "worst_return": -0.216854, "sufficient": false }, { 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1810449, "typical_volume": 2555112.8, "trend": 528.149333, "fair_value": 353.931154, "relative_strength": 0.91741, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "up", "direction": -0.417394, "energy": 9.714162, "activity_lines": [ 538.712667, 542.327455, 550.511095, 542.982903 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 517.71, "volume": 2527367, "typical_volume": 2452199.6, "trend": 528.849, "fair_value": 355.734615, "relative_strength": -2.216299, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "up", "direction": -8.600807, "energy": 26.429703, "activity_lines": [ 530.631333, 537.048545, 547.213619, 542.309398 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 538.84, "volume": 3890247, "typical_volume": 2518779.05, "trend": 530.702667, "fair_value": 357.664359, "relative_strength": -3.683651, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "up", "direction": 3.439463, "energy": 22.426074, "activity_lines": [ 531.256667, 536.533636, 546.01619, 542.953978 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }