{ "ticker": { "uuid": "fc035148-1f43-4a11-8a9f-ce8cb05bcc96", "symbol": "GRN", "name": "Greenlane Renewables Inc.", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -61.148, "architecture_energy": 25.224, "architecture_maturity": 29.78, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 27.2, "rotation_up": 23.38, "upward_expansion": 8.58, "deceleration": 31.97, "rotation_down": 48.02, "downward_expansion": 72.92 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.216333, 0.218636, 0.221833, 0.224108 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 0.2, "trend_reference": 0.226, "distance_from_trend": -0.115044, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.154327, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.29595, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -24.5821, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.02439, "excess_performance": -0.144812, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.115044, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.020231, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.29595, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.22076, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.245821, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.311877, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.02439, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.267164, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 703600, "relative_activity": 1.701119, "balance": 0.267164, "dry_up": 1.428943, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.121154, "annualized_volatility": 0.47992, "from_high_reference": -0.393939, "from_low_reference": 1.222222 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.226, "fair_value_reference": 0.154327, "structural_low": 0.185, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 43, "median_return": -0.037037, "positive_rate": 0.302326, "directional_follow_through": 0.581395, "median_excess_return": -0.047802, "regime_survival": 0.906977, "best_return": 0.2, "worst_return": -0.285714, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": -0.141825, "positive_rate": 0.142857, "directional_follow_through": 0.785714, "median_excess_return": -0.155944, "regime_survival": 0.928571, "best_return": 0.357143, "worst_return": -0.364286, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.384615, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.857143, "median_excess_return": -0.405899, "regime_survival": 0.857143, "best_return": 0.0, "worst_return": -0.457364, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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0.228333, 0.225, 0.226262, 0.227172 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.22, "volume": 494300, "typical_volume": 454455.0, "trend": 0.227667, "fair_value": 0.154936, "relative_strength": -13.645175, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -35.638993, "energy": 16.520747, "activity_lines": [ 0.227333, 0.224364, 0.225452, 0.226667 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.215, "volume": 371900, "typical_volume": 411040.0, "trend": 0.227, "fair_value": 0.154647, "relative_strength": -15.846559, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -40.129006, "energy": 17.993427, "activity_lines": [ 0.224333, 0.222727, 0.22431, 0.225849 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.2, "volume": 703600, "typical_volume": 413610.0, "trend": 0.226, "fair_value": 0.154327, "relative_strength": -24.5821, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.147858, "energy": 25.22404, "activity_lines": [ 0.216333, 0.218636, 0.221833, 0.224108 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }