{ "ticker": { "uuid": "fc0ded46-ec83-4eb4-b799-24e568fbc016", "symbol": "300444", "name": "Beijing SOJO Electric Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 88.165, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -63.68, "architecture_energy": 71.435, "architecture_maturity": 21.186, "architecture_confidence": 84.198, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 15.52, "rotation_up": 11.27, "upward_expansion": 15.99, "deceleration": 38.66, "rotation_down": 70.63, "downward_expansion": 89.33 }, "activity_lines": [ 10.168667, 10.787636, 12.240792, 12.983961 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 10.67, "trend_reference": 13.589349, "distance_from_trend": -0.214826, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 8.269944, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.290214, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -9.538414, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.17435, "excess_performance": -0.18175, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.214826, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.043093, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.290214, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.764469, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.095384, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.417804, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.17435, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.909075, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 378791704, "relative_activity": 1.429497, "balance": 0.909075, "dry_up": 1.538149, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.172803, "annualized_volatility": 0.723718, "from_high_reference": -0.432803, "from_low_reference": 0.485254 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 13.589349, "fair_value_reference": 8.269944, "structural_low": 7.64, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": 0.013071, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": 0.00514, "regime_survival": 0.642857, "best_return": 0.314917, "worst_return": -0.075307, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.173651, "positive_rate": 0.833333, "directional_follow_through": 0.166667, "median_excess_return": 0.107044, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.451197, "worst_return": -0.127846, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.327809, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.125592, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.534021, "worst_return": 0.043783, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-03-21", "end": "2025-04-11", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.195065, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-04-18", "end": "2025-05-02", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.013975, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-05-09", "end": "2025-06-27", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.033083, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-07-04", "end": "2025-07-11", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.019445, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-07-18", "end": "2025-08-15", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.045517, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-08-22", "end": "2026-04-03", "tenure": "Extended", 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"2026-07-17", "close": 8.33, "volume": 274809337, "typical_volume": 277898095.8, "trend": 13.553739, "fair_value": 8.21002, "relative_strength": -25.83579, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -63.602356, "energy": 76.044559, "activity_lines": [ 10.752, 11.872545, 13.190941, 13.610749 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 9.85, "volume": 410792098, "typical_volume": 259328678.25, "trend": 13.54795, "fair_value": 8.225896, "relative_strength": -12.843263, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.168111, "energy": 80.941182, "activity_lines": [ 10.220667, 11.324909, 12.796267, 13.371798 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 10.42, "volume": 565937138, "typical_volume": 261882573.4, "trend": 13.553523, "fair_value": 8.244979, "relative_strength": -6.708766, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.740777, "energy": 77.431286, "activity_lines": [ 10.094, 10.992727, 12.492717, 13.169995 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 10.67, "volume": 378791704, "typical_volume": 264982564.3, "trend": 13.589349, "fair_value": 8.269944, "relative_strength": -9.538414, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.679823, "energy": 71.435, "activity_lines": [ 10.168667, 10.787636, 12.240792, 12.983961 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }