{ "ticker": { "uuid": "fc112730-c6e7-467e-9a4d-52476a238d00", "symbol": "301298", "name": "Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -63.366, "architecture_energy": 56.513, "architecture_maturity": 60.891, "architecture_confidence": 94.91, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.71, "rotation_up": 23.69, "upward_expansion": 9.65, "deceleration": 60.37, "rotation_down": 56.79, "downward_expansion": 82.98 }, "activity_lines": [ 11.664, 11.837091, 12.967069, 13.772191 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 12.42, "trend_reference": 14.746393, "distance_from_trend": -0.15776, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 14.6186, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.150397, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -22.662646, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.249803, "excess_performance": -0.257203, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.15776, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.080007, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.150397, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.272164, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.226626, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.055379, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.249803, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.244618, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 9362761, "relative_activity": 0.960622, "balance": 0.244618, "dry_up": 1.101609, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 6 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.095943, "annualized_volatility": 0.367717, "from_high_reference": -0.303093, "from_low_reference": 0.212891 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 14.746393, "fair_value_reference": 14.6186, "structural_low": 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14.709657, "relative_strength": -27.634695, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.777006, "energy": 87.01686, "activity_lines": [ 11.85, 12.505455, 13.757152, 14.440698 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 10.63, "volume": 13724093, "typical_volume": 9998074.75, "trend": 14.975538, "fair_value": 14.664407, "relative_strength": -32.729292, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -83.649109, "energy": 81.352748, "activity_lines": [ 11.393333, 12.030182, 13.381017, 14.149961 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 11.55, "volume": 9739972, "typical_volume": 9920391.6, "trend": 14.849901, "fair_value": 14.63521, "relative_strength": -25.028502, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.746981, "energy": 65.04067, "activity_lines": [ 11.378667, 11.816182, 13.120766, 13.928959 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 12.42, "volume": 9362761, "typical_volume": 9746556.4, "trend": 14.746393, "fair_value": 14.6186, "relative_strength": -22.662646, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.366163, "energy": 56.513461, "activity_lines": [ 11.664, 11.837091, 12.967069, 13.772191 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }