{ "ticker": { "uuid": "fc1c75e2-c6c5-46b8-b4e8-b7bd66a3e4f5", "symbol": "002739", "name": "Ruyi Film Entertainment Company Limited", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -44.797, "architecture_energy": 24.267, "architecture_maturity": 46.753, "architecture_confidence": 86.031, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 31.59, "rotation_up": 27.6, "upward_expansion": 13.39, "deceleration": 50.42, "rotation_down": 43.5, "downward_expansion": 68.39 }, "activity_lines": [ 9.14, 9.209818, 9.241333, 9.487828 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 9.03, "trend_reference": 9.975333, "distance_from_trend": -0.094767, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 11.655577, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.225264, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -18.353965, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.237331, "excess_performance": -0.244731, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.094767, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.069349, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.225264, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.027971, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.18354, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.121101, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.237331, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.696649, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 370395213, "relative_activity": 1.458499, "balance": 0.696649, "dry_up": 2.307594, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.111168, "annualized_volatility": 0.413042, "from_high_reference": -0.348955, "from_low_reference": 0.143038 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 9.975333, "fair_value_reference": 11.655577, "structural_low": 7.9, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 29, "median_return": -0.004747, "positive_rate": 0.482759, "directional_follow_through": 0.517241, "median_excess_return": -0.007048, "regime_survival": 0.689655, "best_return": 0.265997, "worst_return": -0.172371, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.011709, "positive_rate": 0.416667, "directional_follow_through": 0.583333, "median_excess_return": 0.00978, "regime_survival": 0.416667, "best_return": 0.254937, "worst_return": -0.168058, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.010046, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.005882, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.283662, "worst_return": -0.118671, "sufficient": true }, { 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9.199455, 9.362619, 9.746387 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 10.09, "volume": 802032424, "typical_volume": 206677291.8, "trend": 10.224, "fair_value": 11.758141, "relative_strength": -7.706663, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -11.701459, "energy": 21.396916, "activity_lines": [ 9.816667, 9.371636, 9.412143, 9.734731 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 8.86, "volume": 762894506, "typical_volume": 231148483.65, "trend": 10.131333, "fair_value": 11.728974, "relative_strength": -18.512049, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -31.989059, "energy": 25.355742, "activity_lines": [ 9.626667, 9.312, 9.348571, 9.646731 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 8.69, "volume": 408790713, "typical_volume": 243103053.7, "trend": 10.051667, "fair_value": 11.690897, "relative_strength": -18.075792, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -39.396622, "energy": 20.471696, "activity_lines": [ 9.320667, 9.225455, 9.275571, 9.553742 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 9.03, "volume": 370395213, "typical_volume": 253956378.35, "trend": 9.975333, "fair_value": 11.655577, "relative_strength": -18.353965, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -44.796539, "energy": 24.26721, "activity_lines": [ 9.14, 9.209818, 9.241333, 9.487828 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }