{ "ticker": { "uuid": "fc1d1a6a-5eb0-44e8-ac92-e2cacfd7826a", "symbol": "AIP", "name": "Arteris Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 7.237, "architecture_energy": 18.586, "architecture_maturity": 72.936, "architecture_confidence": 72.366, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 60.0, "rotation_up": 15.92, "upward_expansion": 45.65, "deceleration": 87.9, "rotation_down": 40.46, "downward_expansion": 28.32 }, "activity_lines": [ 30.403333, 33.304909, 33.580667, 30.36 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 29.78, "trend_reference": 25.913667, "distance_from_trend": 0.149201, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 11.848558, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.513386, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 32.031667, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.994642, "excess_performance": 0.807188, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.149201, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.346095, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.513386, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.848226, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.320317, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.648545, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.994642, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.605318, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 4522077, "relative_activity": 1.058803, "balance": 0.605318, "dry_up": 0.77948, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 6 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.222428, "annualized_volatility": 0.671299, "from_high_reference": -0.407481, "from_low_reference": 2.536817 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 25.913667, "fair_value_reference": 11.848558, "structural_low": 13.635, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.005076, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": 0.004172, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.647363, "worst_return": -0.204082, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.18254, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.201083, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.305746, "worst_return": -0.231681, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.060193, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.087141, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.074353, "worst_return": 0.046032, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"green", "start": "2024-12-20", "end": "2025-02-14", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.029536, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-02-21", "end": "2025-03-14", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.177802, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-03-21", "end": "2025-04-18", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.260483, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-25", "end": "2025-06-13", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.169367, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-06-20", "end": "2025-07-04", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.114734, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-07-11", "end": "2025-08-22", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.09681, "active": false }, { 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"energy": 60.651441, "activity_lines": [ 39.804667, 38.262545, 32.492286, 28.216129 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 34.77, "volume": 4499848, "typical_volume": 4063338.45, "trend": 24.030667, "fair_value": 11.255032, "relative_strength": 64.54, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.927609, "energy": 49.478515, "activity_lines": [ 38.212, 37.957273, 33.216095, 28.948731 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 31.04, "volume": 3215024, "typical_volume": 4094824.55, "trend": 24.540667, "fair_value": 11.409199, "relative_strength": 50.572141, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 42.902415, "energy": 28.643625, "activity_lines": [ 35.343333, 36.868, 33.489238, 29.400946 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 30.26, "volume": 2581671, "typical_volume": 4085818.15, "trend": 25.018667, "fair_value": 11.556314, "relative_strength": 46.459933, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 32.582432, "energy": 27.439196, "activity_lines": [ 32.878667, 35.651818, 33.62119, 29.769935 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 29.88, "volume": 2997656, "typical_volume": 4134349.25, "trend": 25.495333, "fair_value": 11.701699, "relative_strength": 41.396145, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 23.879372, "energy": 24.827776, "activity_lines": [ 31.210667, 34.429273, 33.642, 30.08357 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 29.78, "volume": 4522077, "typical_volume": 4270934.7, "trend": 25.913667, "fair_value": 11.848558, "relative_strength": 32.031667, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 7.236687, "energy": 18.586442, "activity_lines": [ 30.403333, 33.304909, 33.580667, 30.36 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }