{ "ticker": { "uuid": "fc406032-786c-490d-b830-9973b47af87e", "symbol": "TFG", "name": "Thaifoods Group Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 44.16, "architecture_energy": 32.942, "architecture_maturity": 58.873, "architecture_confidence": 81.625, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 35.99, "rotation_up": 39.1, "upward_expansion": 65.66, "deceleration": 84.61, "rotation_down": 26.6, "downward_expansion": 15.66 }, "activity_lines": [ 9.916667, 9.919091, 9.793528, 9.268595 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 9.55, "trend_reference": 8.236363, "distance_from_trend": 0.159492, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 4.436687, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.152507, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 26.958121, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 1.085093, "excess_performance": 0.892768, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.159492, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.275283, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.152507, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.617751, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.269581, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.507583, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 1.085093, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.275498, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 59003800, "relative_activity": 0.794353, "balance": 0.275498, "dry_up": 0.803838, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.071944, "annualized_volatility": 0.489772, "from_high_reference": -0.169558, "from_low_reference": 1.409845 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 8.236363, "fair_value_reference": 4.436687, "structural_low": 4.561206, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 20, "median_return": -0.029577, "positive_rate": 0.3, "directional_follow_through": 0.3, "median_excess_return": -0.035866, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.52459, "worst_return": -0.172549, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.087729, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.112015, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.529593, "worst_return": -0.204348, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.093598, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.006059, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.161102, "worst_return": -0.019398, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.684414, "energy": 55.364271, "activity_lines": [ 10.28, 9.946636, 9.744146, 9.045361 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 9.85, "volume": 50438100, "typical_volume": 82552750.0, "trend": 8.063761, "fair_value": 4.394845, "relative_strength": 31.259302, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.722162, "energy": 48.980867, "activity_lines": [ 10.163333, 9.960909, 9.790643, 9.172709 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 9.55, "volume": 59003800, "typical_volume": 74279100.0, "trend": 8.236363, "fair_value": 4.436687, "relative_strength": 26.958121, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 44.159753, "energy": 32.942372, "activity_lines": [ 9.916667, 9.919091, 9.793528, 9.268595 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }