{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "fc4562d3-aa3f-43b8-a219-5b7f06546a56",
    "symbol": "JPNH",
    "name": "Amundi Japan TOPIX II UCITS ETF",
    "exchange": "PAR",
    "country": "FR",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FCHI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 72.569,
    "architecture_energy": 46.046,
    "architecture_maturity": 86.186,
    "architecture_confidence": 68.186,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 22.81,
        "rotation_up": 47.02,
        "upward_expansion": 75.57,
        "deceleration": 68.54,
        "rotation_down": 28.6,
        "downward_expansion": 11.24
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        332.553333,
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        327.472381,
        321.680538
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 338.399994,
    "trend_reference": 314.620001,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.075583,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 234.797315,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.441243,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 7.831888,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.101562,
    "excess_performance": 0.048251,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.075583,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.061812,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.441243,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.008887,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.078319,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.088004,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.101562,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.476701,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1380,
      "relative_activity": 0.449665,
      "balance": 1.476701,
      "dry_up": 1.683964,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.026005,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.199138,
      "from_high_reference": -0.006313,
      "from_low_reference": 0.38214
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 314.620001,
      "fair_value_reference": 234.797315,
      "structural_low": 283.600006,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 43,
        "median_return": 0.015024,
        "positive_rate": 0.604651,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.604651,
        "median_excess_return": 0.014822,
        "regime_survival": 0.790698,
        "best_return": 0.092388,
        "worst_return": -0.07608,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 15,
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        "positive_rate": 0.8,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.8,
        "median_excess_return": 0.053272,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 0.128214,
        "worst_return": -0.049736,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.094001,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.06426,
        "regime_survival": 0.75,
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        "worst_return": -0.139219,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "regime_survival": 0.75,
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        "worst_return": -0.055108,
        "sufficient": false
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    ],
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
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      {
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        "active": false
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      {
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "relative_strength": 13.993133,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 15061,
        "typical_volume": 3534.5,
        "trend": 309.665001,
        "fair_value": 231.670341,
        "relative_strength": 9.641797,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.977158,
        "energy": 54.636842,
        "activity_lines": [
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          322.831905,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 334.649994,
        "volume": 2297,
        "typical_volume": 3318.0,
        "trend": 311.555001,
        "fair_value": 232.712546,
        "relative_strength": 11.873769,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 70.678861,
        "energy": 55.690463,
        "activity_lines": [
          332.196665,
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          324.694524,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 326.600006,
        "volume": 1934,
        "typical_volume": 3182.3,
        "trend": 313.125001,
        "fair_value": 233.724276,
        "relative_strength": 6.989271,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 48.779647,
        "energy": 38.382814,
        "activity_lines": [
          330.296667,
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          325.598096,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 338.399994,
        "volume": 1380,
        "typical_volume": 3068.95,
        "trend": 314.620001,
        "fair_value": 234.797315,
        "relative_strength": 7.831888,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.56947,
        "energy": 46.046198,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}