{ "ticker": { "uuid": "fc4cc145-9a7f-4f46-b59a-e83f6093a141", "symbol": "DBRG", "name": "Digitalbridge Group Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 84.402, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 79.886, "architecture_energy": 68.323, "architecture_maturity": 71.922, "architecture_confidence": 72.924, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 6.62, "rotation_up": 73.09, "upward_expansion": 86.89, "deceleration": 57.7, "rotation_down": 16.75, "downward_expansion": 11.22 }, "activity_lines": [ 15.883333, 15.837095, 15.758502, 15.681663 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 15.94, "trend_reference": 15.584362, "distance_from_trend": 0.02282, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 13.91316, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.145678, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 1.091684, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.033722, "excess_performance": -0.091902, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.02282, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.075357, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.145678, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.01326, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.010917, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.074811, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.033722, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.991262, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 21762188, "relative_activity": 1.488243, "balance": 1.991262, "dry_up": 1.100463, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.006151, "annualized_volatility": 0.021915, "from_high_reference": -0.000627, "from_low_reference": 0.785317 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 15.584362, "fair_value_reference": 13.91316, "structural_low": 15.310071, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 21, "median_return": 0.004455, "positive_rate": 0.619048, "directional_follow_through": 0.619048, "median_excess_return": -0.002234, "regime_survival": 0.761905, "best_return": 0.1092, "worst_return": -0.264045, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.021226, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.021702, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 0.301778, "worst_return": -0.132099, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.016579, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.064815, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.479193, "worst_return": -0.336364, "sufficient": true }, { 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"typical_volume": 14622740.6, "trend": 15.584362, "fair_value": 13.91316, "relative_strength": 1.091684, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 79.885862, "energy": 68.322841, "activity_lines": [ 15.883333, 15.837095, 15.758502, 15.681663 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }