{ "ticker": { "uuid": "fc593b01-a955-443f-8d59-5c593b089ab9", "symbol": "PARACABLES", "name": "Paramount Communications Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 52.708, "architecture_energy": 38.274, "architecture_maturity": 76.563, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 23.44, "rotation_up": 34.88, "upward_expansion": 62.03, "deceleration": 88.07, "rotation_down": 27.82, "downward_expansion": 23.36 }, "activity_lines": [ 65.645998, 66.728907, 62.924142, 56.689741 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 68.919998, "trend_reference": 49.007, "distance_from_trend": 0.40633, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 62.841346, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.09673, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 49.54882, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.792924, "excess_performance": 0.836633, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.40633, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.244812, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.09673, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.18673, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.495488, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.192802, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.792924, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 5.433558, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 8554989, "relative_activity": 0.801747, "balance": 5.433558, "dry_up": 0.546463, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.095027, "annualized_volatility": 0.671456, "from_high_reference": -0.072908, "from_low_reference": 1.435336 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 49.007, "fair_value_reference": 62.841346, "structural_low": 28.299999, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.029347, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.013018, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.519403, "worst_return": -0.189238, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.059722, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.00631, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.265672, "worst_return": -0.119048, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.554675, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.434109, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 1.101493, "worst_return": -0.011905, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 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"2024-11-01", "end": "2024-11-29", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.028927, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-12-06", "end": "2024-12-20", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.107907, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-12-27", "end": "2025-02-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.162998, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-02-14", "end": "2025-06-13", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.106749, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-06-20", "end": "2025-08-22", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.104148, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-08-29", "end": "2026-04-10", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.186903, "active": false }, { 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"typical_volume": 10190499.5, "trend": 45.338, "fair_value": 62.279231, "relative_strength": 49.938684, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.44555, "energy": 64.461689, "activity_lines": [ 69.365999, 67.534545, 58.087095, 51.968451 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 64.349998, "volume": 4617030, "typical_volume": 10264697.5, "trend": 46.306, "fair_value": 62.435321, "relative_strength": 42.940728, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.927856, "energy": 57.416915, "activity_lines": [ 67.776665, 67.423999, 59.453095, 53.195032 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 61.639999, "volume": 5636521, "typical_volume": 10404539.7, "trend": 47.058333, "fair_value": 62.587821, "relative_strength": 39.817089, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 48.6812, "energy": 42.456823, "activity_lines": [ 65.268665, 66.65309, 60.420476, 54.184322 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 64.879997, "volume": 4515431, "typical_volume": 10449752.7, "trend": 47.907666, "fair_value": 62.71141, "relative_strength": 42.831891, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 43.729583, "energy": 33.265849, "activity_lines": [ 64.601998, 66.373453, 61.558666, 55.334107 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 68.919998, "volume": 8554989, "typical_volume": 10670431.4, "trend": 49.007, "fair_value": 62.841346, "relative_strength": 49.54882, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 52.708391, "energy": 38.273834, "activity_lines": [ 65.645998, 66.728907, 62.924142, 56.689741 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }