{ "ticker": { "uuid": "fc603662-1bb3-434b-806f-1ac190cc93e2", "symbol": "ARTS", "name": "Airtouch Solar Ltd", "exchange": "TLV", "country": "IL", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "TA35.TA", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 26.156, "architecture_energy": 30.067, "architecture_maturity": 25.538, "architecture_confidence": 49.496, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 54.79, "rotation_up": 48.16, "upward_expansion": 50.14, "deceleration": 31.3, "rotation_down": 22.01, "downward_expansion": 13.14 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.348467, 0.336673, 0.326038, 0.322583 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 0.36, "trend_reference": 0.329, "distance_from_trend": 0.094225, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.480871, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.251358, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -21.57581, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.0625, "excess_performance": -0.0914, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.094225, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.10142, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.251358, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.203855, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.215758, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.371496, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.0625, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.431011, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 582992, "relative_activity": 0.611406, "balance": 3.431011, "dry_up": 2.217007, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.176496, "annualized_volatility": 0.684498, "from_high_reference": -0.485714, "from_low_reference": 0.400778 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.329, "fair_value_reference": 0.480871, "structural_low": 0.257, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": -0.090909, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.092189, "regime_survival": 0.533333, "best_return": 0.15641, "worst_return": -0.22549, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.213725, "positive_rate": 0.142857, "directional_follow_through": 0.142857, "median_excess_return": -0.201821, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.032864, "worst_return": -0.424035, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.253394, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.345736, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.159923, "worst_return": -0.399142, "sufficient": true }, { 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"balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-08-02", "end": "2024-10-18", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.172557, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-10-25", "end": "2025-01-10", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.202128, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-01-17", "end": "2025-01-24", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.391156, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-01-31", "end": "2025-03-14", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.009818, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-03-21", "end": "2025-04-25", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.295337, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-05-02", "end": "2025-05-16", 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953526.8, "trend": 0.329, "fair_value": 0.480871, "relative_strength": -21.57581, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 26.156132, "energy": 30.066709, "activity_lines": [ 0.348467, 0.336673, 0.326038, 0.322583 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }