{ "ticker": { "uuid": "fc70fda8-6cc4-4acb-b66a-2b0b5fe96266", "symbol": "IEX", "name": "IDEX Corporation", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 72.638, "architecture_energy": 53.103, "architecture_maturity": 44.526, "architecture_confidence": 88.484, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 11.87, "rotation_up": 60.89, "upward_expansion": 80.42, "deceleration": 60.24, "rotation_down": 19.91, "downward_expansion": 7.09 }, "activity_lines": [ 229.063333, 226.480984, 220.571375, 215.115708 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 234.46, "trend_reference": 209.213712, "distance_from_trend": 0.120672, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 197.007302, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.190108, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 9.331792, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.113118, "excess_performance": -0.012507, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.120672, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.086275, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.190108, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.084719, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.093318, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.028969, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.113118, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.697327, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2612983, "relative_activity": 0.744119, "balance": 2.697327, "dry_up": 1.085739, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.045793, "annualized_volatility": 0.189678, "from_high_reference": -0.038292, "from_low_reference": 0.508225 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 209.213712, "fair_value_reference": 197.007302, "structural_low": 182.357387, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": -0.025035, "positive_rate": 0.315789, "directional_follow_through": 0.315789, "median_excess_return": -0.015633, "regime_survival": 0.631579, "best_return": 0.14846, "worst_return": -0.09573, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.037309, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": -0.04885, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.155245, "worst_return": -0.167323, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.033234, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.035547, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.211307, "worst_return": -0.222159, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"relative_strength": 9.77007, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.093181, "energy": 44.367743, "activity_lines": [ 223.68216, 222.206345, 216.401419, 211.784006 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 230.45, "volume": 5973039, "typical_volume": 3700765.25, "trend": 207.511885, "fair_value": 196.882776, "relative_strength": 11.660637, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.818297, "energy": 48.781871, "activity_lines": [ 225.837629, 224.176119, 218.397649, 213.37712 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 234.46, "volume": 2612983, "typical_volume": 3511513.05, "trend": 209.213712, "fair_value": 197.007302, "relative_strength": 9.331792, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.638213, "energy": 53.102749, "activity_lines": [ 229.063333, 226.480984, 220.571375, 215.115708 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }