{ "ticker": { "uuid": "fc74697d-914f-45de-aaf6-6caad56848e1", "symbol": "2880", "name": "Hua Nan Financial Holdings Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 79.303, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 65.255, "architecture_energy": 69.298, "architecture_maturity": 26.832, "architecture_confidence": 65.13, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.53, "rotation_up": 73.99, "upward_expansion": 90.23, "deceleration": 45.37, "rotation_down": 11.18, "downward_expansion": 14.56 }, "activity_lines": [ 40.486319, 39.216335, 36.701692, 35.553603 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 38.950001, "trend_reference": 34.305112, "distance_from_trend": 0.135399, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 25.312996, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.538735, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -11.59818, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.200048, "excess_performance": -0.241324, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.135399, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.092161, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.538735, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.234408, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.115982, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.156477, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.200048, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.424471, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 200582766, "relative_activity": 1.294744, "balance": 1.424471, "dry_up": 1.016842, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.080043, "annualized_volatility": 0.382644, "from_high_reference": -0.100296, "from_low_reference": 0.47715 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 34.305112, "fair_value_reference": 25.312996, "structural_low": 28.381929, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 38, "median_return": 0.017625, "positive_rate": 0.657895, "directional_follow_through": 0.657895, "median_excess_return": -0.000786, "regime_survival": 0.815789, "best_return": 0.141304, "worst_return": -0.096907, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": 0.037111, "positive_rate": 0.785714, "directional_follow_through": 0.785714, "median_excess_return": 0.002923, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.142857, "worst_return": -0.067496, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.066362, "positive_rate": 0.777778, "directional_follow_through": 0.777778, "median_excess_return": -0.037922, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.34139, "worst_return": -0.069077, 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73.793283, "activity_lines": [ 36.324396, 34.814064, 33.706738, 33.333097 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 38.497787, "volume": 129368780, "typical_volume": 138659448.5, "trend": 32.968425, "fair_value": 24.746639, "relative_strength": -7.70998, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 76.524395, "energy": 75.394012, "activity_lines": [ 37.155399, 35.699691, 34.195067, 33.7088 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 39.025154, "volume": 153806622, "typical_volume": 141734263.2, "trend": 33.249687, "fair_value": 24.87859, "relative_strength": -8.143416, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 76.077859, "energy": 76.953663, "activity_lines": [ 37.896908, 36.561784, 34.72426, 34.099557 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 41.901703, "volume": 146102328, "typical_volume": 145611785.7, "trend": 33.612452, "fair_value": 25.028712, "relative_strength": 0.136665, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 86.247365, "energy": 85.971378, "activity_lines": [ 39.447048, 37.802186, 35.502297, 34.657752 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 42.572895, "volume": 129627884, "typical_volume": 148610985.2, "trend": 34.024757, "fair_value": 25.1826, "relative_strength": -0.452216, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 82.741255, "energy": 88.561107, "activity_lines": [ 40.786241, 38.959778, 36.299284, 35.235845 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 38.950001, "volume": 200582766, "typical_volume": 154920785.9, "trend": 34.305112, "fair_value": 25.312996, "relative_strength": -11.59818, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.25549, "energy": 69.298496, "activity_lines": [ 40.486319, 39.216335, 36.701692, 35.553603 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }