{ "ticker": { "uuid": "fc7853eb-c526-44ad-b79b-f90d1a53190d", "symbol": "PHG", "name": "Patrangsit Healthcare Group Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -45.807, "architecture_energy": 37.505, "architecture_maturity": 82.701, "architecture_confidence": 89.162, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 26.03, "rotation_up": 27.11, "upward_expansion": 17.75, "deceleration": 46.81, "rotation_down": 36.73, "downward_expansion": 65.42 }, "activity_lines": [ 10.273333, 10.232727, 10.488069, 10.856356 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 10.5, "trend_reference": 11.322963, "distance_from_trend": -0.072681, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 12.573878, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.164935, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -24.550385, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.138167, "excess_performance": -0.330492, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.072681, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.045609, "read": "Falling" 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"structural_low": 9.8, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.008, "positive_rate": 0.545455, "directional_follow_through": 0.363636, "median_excess_return": 0.009826, "regime_survival": 0.818182, "best_return": 0.058394, "worst_return": -0.051948, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.028263, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.034935, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.072581, "worst_return": -0.097403, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.083384, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.106466, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": -0.071892, "worst_return": -0.094877, "sufficient": false }, { 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"typical_volume": 522060.0, "trend": 11.429629, "fair_value": 12.583619, "relative_strength": -30.040784, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.405072, "energy": 52.977993, "activity_lines": [ 10.2, 10.216364, 10.617037, 10.99804 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 10.1, "volume": 71200, "typical_volume": 509160.0, "trend": 11.366481, "fair_value": 12.576341, "relative_strength": -28.561776, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.014865, "energy": 49.604181, "activity_lines": [ 10.173333, 10.183636, 10.528545, 10.912258 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 10.5, "volume": 437200, "typical_volume": 520270.0, "trend": 11.322963, "fair_value": 12.573878, "relative_strength": -24.550385, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -45.806965, "energy": 37.504959, "activity_lines": [ 10.273333, 10.232727, 10.488069, 10.856356 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }