{ "ticker": { "uuid": "fc7b627d-a248-45ae-9f34-3c9d5fdf5fbd", "symbol": "MU", "name": "Micron Technology, Inc.", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 32.696, "architecture_energy": 27.59, "architecture_maturity": 79.0, "architecture_confidence": 91.516, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 44.0, "rotation_up": 19.92, "upward_expansion": 55.07, "deceleration": 94.0, "rotation_down": 32.76, "downward_expansion": 21.07 }, "activity_lines": [ 15195.180859, 16249.121792, 15291.577813, 13523.383056 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 14993.730469, "trend_reference": 11293.501457, "distance_from_trend": 0.327642, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 3915.262785, "distance_from_fair_value": 2.829559, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 83.594609, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 1.194147, "excess_performance": 1.248814, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.327642, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.545709, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 2.829559, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.952563, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.835946, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.726028, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 1.194147, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.784019, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 28233, "relative_activity": 1.147431, "balance": 0.784019, "dry_up": 1.44385, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.163478, "annualized_volatility": 0.799742, "from_high_reference": -0.280772, "from_low_reference": 6.010251 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 11293.501457, "fair_value_reference": 3915.262785, "structural_low": 5600.0, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.017673, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.044189, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.746524, "worst_return": -0.122943, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.515027, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.479142, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.36814, "worst_return": -0.175937, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.037863, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.065547, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 2.091872, "worst_return": -0.257689, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-01-03", "end": "2025-01-10", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.10534, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-01-17", "end": "2025-03-28", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.181319, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-04", "end": "2025-06-06", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.559687, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-06-13", "end": "2025-07-04", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.03938, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-07-11", "end": "2025-08-01", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.14469, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-08-08", "end": "2025-08-29", "tenure": 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15572.658853, 16595.15643, 15105.373936, 13265.747047 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 14993.730469, "volume": 28233, "typical_volume": 24605.4, "trend": 11293.501457, "fair_value": 3915.262785, "relative_strength": 83.594609, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 32.696479, "energy": 27.590499, "activity_lines": [ 15195.180859, 16249.121792, 15291.577813, 13523.383056 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }