{ "ticker": { "uuid": "fc7bfc03-106e-4f1b-891a-2fde53aaf680", "symbol": "SOXQ", "name": "INVESCO PHLX SEMICONDUCTOR ETF", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 30.955, "architecture_energy": 22.718, "architecture_maturity": 77.163, "architecture_confidence": 92.426, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 46.82, "rotation_up": 22.42, "upward_expansion": 55.07, "deceleration": 91.12, "rotation_down": 32.2, "downward_expansion": 18.73 }, "activity_lines": [ 93.806667, 96.893396, 95.663088, 89.284707 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 97.2, "trend_reference": 80.863079, "distance_from_trend": 0.202032, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 47.273645, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.056114, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 26.022428, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.536346, "excess_performance": 0.348892, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.202032, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.217873, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.056114, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.181375, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.260224, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.164532, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.536346, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.925162, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 7800335, "relative_activity": 0.717661, "balance": 0.925162, "dry_up": 1.02193, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 6 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.114323, "annualized_volatility": 0.43606, "from_high_reference": -0.157241, "from_low_reference": 1.261057 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 80.863079, "fair_value_reference": 47.273645, "structural_low": 55.78, "invalidation": "A 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"2026-07-31", "close": 89.05, "volume": 14858647, "typical_volume": 10724780.75, "trend": 79.625103, "fair_value": 46.82464, "relative_strength": 22.586927, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 30.699888, "energy": 22.869383, "activity_lines": [ 93.093333, 97.295234, 94.814002, 88.150842 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 97.2, "volume": 7800335, "typical_volume": 10869103.95, "trend": 80.863079, "fair_value": 47.273645, "relative_strength": 26.022428, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 30.954732, "energy": 22.718475, "activity_lines": [ 93.806667, 96.893396, 95.663088, 89.284707 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }