{ "ticker": { "uuid": "fc889d0f-cc31-40f2-800b-a3496b3f1817", "symbol": "RBT", "name": "Robot, S.A.", "exchange": "MCE", "country": "ES", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^IBEX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 26.079, "architecture_energy": 15.037, "architecture_maturity": 64.119, "architecture_confidence": 92.863, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 54.05, "rotation_up": 25.79, "upward_expansion": 47.26, "deceleration": 84.24, "rotation_down": 27.97, "downward_expansion": 25.26 }, "activity_lines": [ 5.012, 5.025091, 5.187238, 4.935914 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 5.5, "trend_reference": 4.507333, "distance_from_trend": 0.220234, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 2.541154, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.164371, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 24.751467, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.774194, "excess_performance": 0.649763, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.220234, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.185516, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.164371, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.119473, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.247515, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.2341, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.774194, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.997238, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3283, "relative_activity": 0.470256, "balance": 0.997238, "dry_up": 0.56723, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.12965, "annualized_volatility": 0.873116, "from_high_reference": -0.356725, "from_low_reference": 1.165354 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 4.507333, "fair_value_reference": 2.541154, "structural_low": 3.2, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.06338, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": 0.065877, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.557895, "worst_return": -0.123077, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.147541, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.0323, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.284211, "worst_return": 0.084507, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.465715, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.304184, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.473684, "worst_return": 0.457746, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 1.0, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.56909, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.0, "worst_return": 1.0, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2022-02-04", "end": "2022-08-26", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.071429, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2022-09-02", "end": "2022-09-30", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2022-10-07", "end": "2024-11-22", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.02139, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-11-29", "end": "2025-01-17", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.04918, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-01-24", "end": "2025-04-11", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.010417, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-04-18", "end": "2025-04-18", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-04-25", "end": "2025-05-02", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.00565, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-05-09", "end": "2025-05-16", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.409524, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-05-23", "end": "2025-07-04", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.153846, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-07-11", "end": "2025-08-15", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.049587, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward 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"up", "direction": 9.273941, "energy": 16.093168, "activity_lines": [ 4.796, 4.949818, 5.13381, 4.866495 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 5.5, "volume": 3283, "typical_volume": 6981.3, "trend": 4.507333, "fair_value": 2.541154, "relative_strength": 24.751467, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 26.079067, "energy": 15.037173, "activity_lines": [ 5.012, 5.025091, 5.187238, 4.935914 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }