{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "fca14b72-8357-4f3b-9b95-d8d4898772c5",
    "symbol": "002815",
    "name": "Suntak Technology Co.,Ltd.",
    "exchange": "SHZ",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "399001.SZ",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 84.726,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_down",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down",
    "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -33.052,
    "architecture_energy": 54.273,
    "architecture_maturity": 12.899,
    "architecture_confidence": 72.007,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 30.9,
        "rotation_up": 18.81,
        "upward_expansion": 20.18,
        "deceleration": 43.18,
        "rotation_down": 69.13,
        "downward_expansion": 57.18
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        12.698,
        14.275818,
        15.147756,
        15.177224
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 13.08,
    "trend_reference": 15.143094,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.13624,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 11.293115,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.158228,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -14.029189,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.114266,
    "excess_performance": -0.121665,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.13624,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.049622,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.158228,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.246588,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.140292,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.067804,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.114266,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.864026,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 197329995,
      "relative_activity": 0.946105,
      "balance": 1.864026,
      "dry_up": 1.318062,
      "accumulation_observations": 5,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.18913,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.762211,
      "from_high_reference": -0.368116,
      "from_low_reference": 0.22243
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 15.143094,
      "fair_value_reference": 11.293115,
      "structural_low": 10.7,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.021968,
        "positive_rate": 0.714286,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.285714,
        "median_excess_return": 0.024459,
        "regime_survival": 0.428571,
        "best_return": 0.088207,
        "worst_return": -0.083916,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.035761,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": -0.015965,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.232021,
        "worst_return": -0.050575,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.068344,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.051946,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.485734,
        "worst_return": -0.144799,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.008514,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.04105,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.451279,
        "worst_return": -0.238445,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-09-20",
        "end": "2024-09-27",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.131474,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-10-04",
        "end": "2024-10-25",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.035219,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-11-01",
        "end": "2025-03-28",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.245241,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-04-04",
        "end": "2025-04-18",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.117481,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-04-25",
        "end": "2025-05-23",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.046174,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-05-30",
        "end": "2025-07-04",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.141013,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-07-11",
        "end": "2025-07-18",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.012842,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-07-25",
        "end": "2025-10-10",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.232203,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-10-17",
        "end": "2025-12-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.043774,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-01-02",
        "end": "2026-01-30",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.089312,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-02-06",
        "end": "2026-03-27",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.018855,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-04-03",
        "end": "2026-05-22",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.208889,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-05-29",
        "end": "2026-07-31",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.324242,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-08-07",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-07-28",
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        "typical_volume": 48861434.2,
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        "relative_strength": 9.306793,
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        "fair_value": 11.292808,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 216515816.6,
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        "fair_value": 11.290268,
        "relative_strength": -21.157136,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -34.894089,
        "energy": 33.081539,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 11.15,
        "volume": 196766285,
        "typical_volume": 213752359.7,
        "trend": 15.158982,
        "fair_value": 11.283171,
        "relative_strength": -23.139742,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -38.750915,
        "energy": 51.487751,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.969333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 13.08,
        "volume": 197329995,
        "typical_volume": 208570869.65,
        "trend": 15.143094,
        "fair_value": 11.293115,
        "relative_strength": -14.029189,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -33.051663,
        "energy": 54.273195,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}