{ "ticker": { "uuid": "fca647aa-31f9-4740-8a51-7a4c89c9d1bf", "symbol": "ACEINTEG", "name": "Ace Integrated Solutions Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 88.917, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 13.873, "architecture_energy": 16.642, "architecture_maturity": 44.398, "architecture_confidence": 74.862, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 53.58, "rotation_up": 19.02, "upward_expansion": 53.13, "deceleration": 88.54, "rotation_down": 39.34, "downward_expansion": 21.46 }, "activity_lines": [ 19.419333, 19.994182, 19.923762, 19.491419 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 18.879999, "trend_reference": 19.157333, "distance_from_trend": -0.014477, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 28.456154, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.336523, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -9.167711, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.036243, "excess_performance": 0.007466, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.014477, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.03449, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.336523, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.018333, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.091677, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.029094, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.036243, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.510261, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 14255, "relative_activity": 0.202136, "balance": 0.510261, "dry_up": 0.289314, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.092365, "annualized_volatility": 0.327399, "from_high_reference": -0.369406, "from_low_reference": 0.329577 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 19.157333, "fair_value_reference": 28.456154, "structural_low": 14.2, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 20, "median_return": 0.001905, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.011259, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.401639, "worst_return": -0.227668, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.109155, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": 0.061707, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.861386, "worst_return": -0.244969, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.29222, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.413089, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 1.608911, "worst_return": -0.416601, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"activity_lines": [ 20.836, 20.598, 19.927381, 19.509806 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 19.700001, "volume": 22588, "typical_volume": 74240.1, "trend": 19.321, "fair_value": 28.69032, "relative_strength": -2.972598, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 39.787162, "energy": 23.410003, "activity_lines": [ 20.434, 20.487818, 19.985048, 19.530043 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 19.040001, "volume": 23297, "typical_volume": 74069.75, "trend": 19.197667, "fair_value": 28.571667, "relative_strength": -8.15879, "stage": 4, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 23.933279, "energy": 14.8631, "activity_lines": [ 19.892667, 20.246, 19.968667, 19.511914 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 18.879999, "volume": 14255, "typical_volume": 70522.0, "trend": 19.157333, "fair_value": 28.456154, "relative_strength": -9.167711, "stage": 4, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 13.873422, "energy": 16.642323, "activity_lines": [ 19.419333, 19.994182, 19.923762, 19.491419 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }