{ "ticker": { "uuid": "fca94c26-4e07-44fa-9945-198342b10e11", "symbol": "ZION", "name": "Zions Bancorporation", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 63.697, "architecture_energy": 55.694, "architecture_maturity": 63.332, "architecture_confidence": 79.636, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.92, "rotation_up": 56.01, "upward_expansion": 82.67, "deceleration": 67.11, "rotation_down": 24.22, "downward_expansion": 9.33 }, "activity_lines": [ 70.231333, 69.713091, 67.072736, 64.840415 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 70.32, "trend_reference": 62.483314, "distance_from_trend": 0.12542, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 48.553968, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.448285, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 4.415711, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.093219, "excess_performance": -0.094234, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.12542, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.077093, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.448285, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.079357, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.044157, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.101385, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.093219, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.733103, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 7439510, "relative_activity": 0.948152, "balance": 2.733103, "dry_up": 1.116216, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.044801, "annualized_volatility": 0.261156, "from_high_reference": -0.041178, "from_low_reference": 0.558935 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 62.483314, "fair_value_reference": 48.553968, "structural_low": 52.303313, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 29, "median_return": -0.004984, "positive_rate": 0.448276, "directional_follow_through": 0.448276, "median_excess_return": -0.041031, "regime_survival": 0.724138, "best_return": 0.205672, "worst_return": -0.1352, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.018923, "positive_rate": 0.545455, "directional_follow_through": 0.545455, "median_excess_return": 0.035043, "regime_survival": 0.272727, "best_return": 0.305993, "worst_return": -0.181441, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.017694, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": -0.023897, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.218798, "worst_return": -0.123018, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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69.282364, 66.452562, 64.311207 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 70.32, "volume": 7439510, "typical_volume": 7846326.3, "trend": 62.483314, "fair_value": 48.553968, "relative_strength": 4.415711, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.696941, "energy": 55.694416, "activity_lines": [ 70.231333, 69.713091, 67.072736, 64.840415 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }