{ "ticker": { "uuid": "fcbebbba-baa7-4e24-a6e6-01df35a386fe", "symbol": "ABUD34", "name": "Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 61.521, "architecture_energy": 45.225, "architecture_maturity": 35.112, "architecture_confidence": 93.458, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 19.61, "rotation_up": 52.87, "upward_expansion": 79.79, "deceleration": 56.29, "rotation_down": 22.85, "downward_expansion": 6.45 }, "activity_lines": [ 70.506666, 69.925636, 68.436071, 67.160966 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 70.839996, "trend_reference": 65.756826, "distance_from_trend": 0.077303, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 56.004094, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.264907, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 11.765179, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.089506, "excess_performance": 0.146555, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.077303, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.06888, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.264907, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.067879, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.117652, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.19857, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.089506, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.517708, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2129, "relative_activity": 1.21605, "balance": 1.517708, "dry_up": 1.062116, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.041491, "annualized_volatility": 0.243934, "from_high_reference": -0.035009, "from_low_reference": 0.399767 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 65.756826, "fair_value_reference": 56.004094, "structural_low": 59.139043, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 23, "median_return": -0.012257, "positive_rate": 0.391304, "directional_follow_through": 0.391304, "median_excess_return": -0.01134, "regime_survival": 0.652174, "best_return": 0.11356, "worst_return": -0.155431, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.012875, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": -0.022222, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.057493, "worst_return": -0.173131, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.051784, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.091708, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.185608, "worst_return": -0.190977, "sufficient": true }, { 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"trend": 65.3262, "fair_value": 55.834462, "relative_strength": 11.661356, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 74.026472, "energy": 44.834346, "activity_lines": [ 70.205335, 69.602001, 67.982234, 66.805238 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 70.839996, "volume": 2129, "typical_volume": 1750.75, "trend": 65.756826, "fair_value": 56.004094, "relative_strength": 11.765179, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.520906, "energy": 45.224882, "activity_lines": [ 70.506666, 69.925636, 68.436071, 67.160966 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }