{ "ticker": { "uuid": "fcdb1f66-5fac-4522-9843-c96bb69c6c6c", "symbol": "XPF", "name": "XP Factory Plc", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 51.45, "architecture_energy": 28.624, "architecture_maturity": 78.612, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 29.46, "rotation_up": 28.44, "upward_expansion": 56.99, "deceleration": 91.0, "rotation_down": 27.53, "downward_expansion": 20.66 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.181167, 0.183718, 0.178712, 0.167746 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 0.1925, "trend_reference": 0.1546, "distance_from_trend": 0.245149, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.138096, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.393956, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 28.81714, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.389892, "excess_performance": 0.338656, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.245149, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.171064, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.393956, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.236874, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.288171, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.061888, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.389892, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.453346, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 975244, "relative_activity": 0.808909, "balance": 3.453346, "dry_up": 0.571192, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.080024, "annualized_volatility": 0.530879, "from_high_reference": -0.083333, "from_low_reference": 1.026316 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.1546, "fair_value_reference": 0.138096, "structural_low": 0.10125, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of 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"2025-08-01", "end": "2025-08-15", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.125561, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-08-22", "end": "2025-09-26", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.384615, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-10-03", "end": "2025-10-10", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-10-17", "end": "2025-11-07", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.081633, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-11-14", "end": "2026-01-02", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.155556, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-01-09", "end": "2026-02-20", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.117647, "active": false }, { "regime": 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[ 0.1908, 0.185173, 0.16849, 0.157443 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 0.1875, "volume": 867596, "typical_volume": 1680769.35, "trend": 0.147517, "fair_value": 0.137984, "relative_strength": 33.727539, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.125396, "energy": 59.314957, "activity_lines": [ 0.1902, 0.186782, 0.171814, 0.160197 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.18, "volume": 662197, "typical_volume": 1435565.8, "trend": 0.149517, "fair_value": 0.138064, "relative_strength": 26.24666, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.448347, "energy": 51.617455, "activity_lines": [ 0.186933, 0.186391, 0.174067, 0.162292 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.1725, "volume": 508962, "typical_volume": 1384831.25, "trend": 0.151017, "fair_value": 0.138048, "relative_strength": 18.822027, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 44.749116, "energy": 35.419287, "activity_lines": [ 0.181333, 0.184273, 0.175283, 0.163775 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.1725, "volume": 608180, "typical_volume": 1311437.85, "trend": 0.152433, "fair_value": 0.138032, "relative_strength": 16.785857, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 37.586357, "energy": 24.662233, "activity_lines": [ 0.177167, 0.182109, 0.1762, 0.165161 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.1925, "volume": 975244, "typical_volume": 1205628.8, "trend": 0.1546, "fair_value": 0.138096, "relative_strength": 28.81714, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 51.450011, "energy": 28.624183, "activity_lines": [ 0.181167, 0.183718, 0.178712, 0.167746 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }