{ "ticker": { "uuid": "fce144f3-3a54-4337-b1da-2df8a2524527", "symbol": "300803", "name": "Beijing Compass Technology Development Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -60.478, "architecture_energy": 48.452, "architecture_maturity": 36.624, "architecture_confidence": 88.165, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 16.02, "rotation_up": 17.26, "upward_expansion": 6.4, "deceleration": 50.22, "rotation_down": 61.21, "downward_expansion": 79.74 }, "activity_lines": [ 80.852668, 83.302001, 87.916239, 92.496362 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 84.0, "trend_reference": 100.865855, "distance_from_trend": -0.167211, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 70.25675, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.195615, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -30.3994, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.322091, "excess_performance": -0.329491, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.167211, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.127589, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.195615, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.371785, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.303994, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.06795, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.322091, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.509359, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 88974519, "relative_activity": 1.077903, "balance": 0.509359, "dry_up": 1.212923, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 6 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.118049, "annualized_volatility": 0.382419, "from_high_reference": -0.530413, "from_low_reference": 0.158461 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 100.865855, "fair_value_reference": 70.25675, "structural_low": 72.510002, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": -0.010883, "positive_rate": 0.470588, "directional_follow_through": 0.529412, "median_excess_return": -0.025106, "regime_survival": 0.823529, "best_return": 1.244118, "worst_return": -0.219749, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.124933, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.12594, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 1.513172, "worst_return": -0.252714, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.676933, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.641638, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 1.454344, "worst_return": -0.185058, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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}, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 82.410004, "volume": 106414763, "typical_volume": 82490257.1, "trend": 102.425038, "fair_value": 69.925964, "relative_strength": -28.383936, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.494179, "energy": 65.282395, "activity_lines": [ 79.866001, 83.625274, 88.720096, 93.685074 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 84.0, "volume": 88974519, "typical_volume": 82544073.15, "trend": 100.865855, "fair_value": 70.25675, "relative_strength": -30.3994, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.477769, "energy": 48.451716, "activity_lines": [ 80.852668, 83.302001, 87.916239, 92.496362 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }