{ "ticker": { "uuid": "fce2a11c-028d-418e-9ad8-2986e3174665", "symbol": "600821", "name": "NYOCOR Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 48.763, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Structural failure", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -47.398, "architecture_energy": 36.721, "architecture_maturity": 38.051, "architecture_confidence": 56.026, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 29.28, "rotation_up": 23.01, "upward_expansion": 16.39, "deceleration": 62.67, "rotation_down": 44.62, "downward_expansion": 66.39 }, "activity_lines": [ 6.338, 6.312182, 6.92919, 7.302925 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 6.58, "trend_reference": 7.362667, "distance_from_trend": -0.106302, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 5.857863, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.123276, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 0.956168, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.102178, "excess_performance": 0.145381, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.106302, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.052986, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.123276, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.390132, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.009562, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.2921, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.102178, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.481805, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 392628910, "relative_activity": 0.468456, "balance": 0.481805, "dry_up": 0.73466, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.13935, "annualized_volatility": 0.735423, "from_high_reference": -0.460656, "from_low_reference": 0.292731 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 7.362667, "fair_value_reference": 5.857863, "structural_low": 5.39, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.034954, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": 0.038932, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.170588, "worst_return": -0.052071, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.053986, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.008166, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.911488, "worst_return": -0.257988, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.071523, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.070388, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.235405, "worst_return": -0.061538, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.08371, 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"close": 6.32, "volume": 959081489, "typical_volume": 1045243999.9, "trend": 7.271667, "fair_value": 5.853148, "relative_strength": 0.485001, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -36.481884, "energy": 53.632428, "activity_lines": [ 6.070667, 6.383636, 7.174286, 7.403892 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6.44, "volume": 494257076, "typical_volume": 956669183.55, "trend": 7.313333, "fair_value": 5.854347, "relative_strength": 1.753135, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -33.109964, "energy": 36.545713, "activity_lines": [ 6.183333, 6.319818, 7.036238, 7.350237 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 6.58, "volume": 392628910, "typical_volume": 838134046.85, "trend": 7.362667, "fair_value": 5.857863, "relative_strength": 0.956168, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -47.3976, "energy": 36.720774, "activity_lines": [ 6.338, 6.312182, 6.92919, 7.302925 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }