{ "ticker": { "uuid": "fcf052f1-608e-4956-bdf9-1ee323a49635", "symbol": "KAPIAB", "name": "Kalleb\u00e4ck Property Invest AB (publ)", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 55.66, "architecture_energy": 43.896, "architecture_maturity": 2.788, "architecture_confidence": 79.201, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 19.23, "rotation_up": 61.78, "upward_expansion": 86.38, "deceleration": 42.66, "rotation_down": 14.39, "downward_expansion": 8.38 }, "activity_lines": [ 202.8, 202.365499, 201.846596, 201.520109 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 203.0, "trend_reference": 201.020275, "distance_from_trend": 0.009848, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 173.997488, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.166684, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -9.319286, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.030302, "excess_performance": -0.031193, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.009848, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.00864, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.166684, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.009159, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.093193, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.015769, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.030302, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 5.70495, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 4861, "relative_activity": 0.511044, "balance": 5.70495, "dry_up": 0.728114, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.01352, "annualized_volatility": 0.057069, "from_high_reference": -0.028708, "from_low_reference": 0.077059 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 201.020275, "fair_value_reference": 173.997488, "structural_low": 194.074253, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 36, "median_return": 0.001333, "positive_rate": 0.527778, "directional_follow_through": 0.527778, "median_excess_return": -0.011154, "regime_survival": 0.722222, "best_return": 0.078717, "worst_return": -0.043478, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": 0.019779, "positive_rate": 0.733333, "directional_follow_through": 0.733333, "median_excess_return": -0.001267, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.090514, "worst_return": -0.160616, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.004829, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": 0.044173, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.151346, "worst_return": -0.13248, 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"volume": 9190, "typical_volume": 9449.25, "trend": 200.686858, "fair_value": 172.542687, "relative_strength": -7.178955, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 36.865958, "energy": 21.225011, "activity_lines": [ 201.737235, 201.319201, 201.321078, 201.04092 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 202.0, "volume": 6575, "typical_volume": 9550.0, "trend": 200.851099, "fair_value": 172.897551, "relative_strength": -5.98032, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 46.898821, "energy": 29.570468, "activity_lines": [ 201.868618, 201.53419, 201.396647, 201.125639 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 203.0, "volume": 8692, "typical_volume": 9540.5, "trend": 201.016314, "fair_value": 173.264197, "relative_strength": -6.799118, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 52.752427, "energy": 36.568308, "activity_lines": [ 202.333333, 201.87725, 201.557859, 201.264278 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 203.0, "volume": 7575, "typical_volume": 9547.2, "trend": 201.018295, "fair_value": 173.641586, "relative_strength": -7.798469, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 55.497753, "energy": 40.953338, "activity_lines": [ 202.6, 202.148381, 201.709406, 201.392257 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 203.0, "volume": 4861, "typical_volume": 9511.9, "trend": 201.020275, "fair_value": 173.997488, "relative_strength": -9.319286, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 55.660066, "energy": 43.895541, "activity_lines": [ 202.8, 202.365499, 201.846596, 201.520109 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }