{ "ticker": { "uuid": "fcfd12f5-3743-47cf-a684-3c70a943c46c", "symbol": "CTAS", "name": "Cintas Corporation", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 56.081, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 41.84, "architecture_energy": 72.535, "architecture_maturity": 16.054, "architecture_confidence": 56.723, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 17.06, "rotation_up": 78.43, "upward_expansion": 68.89, "deceleration": 18.02, "rotation_down": 16.09, "downward_expansion": 24.89 }, "activity_lines": [ 202.669333, 193.960909, 185.102631, 183.789286 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 203.05, "trend_reference": 184.47714, "distance_from_trend": 0.100678, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 181.506466, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.118693, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -6.096371, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.041847, "excess_performance": -0.145607, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.100678, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.002375, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.118693, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.172946, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.060964, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.242332, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.041847, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.129821, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 10457647, "relative_activity": 0.949496, "balance": 1.129821, "dry_up": 1.2134, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.056574, "annualized_volatility": 0.30289, "from_high_reference": -0.095675, "from_low_reference": 0.263297 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 184.47714, "fair_value_reference": 181.506466, "structural_low": 160.730265, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.088839, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.005334, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.005117, "worst_return": -0.143755, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.059006, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.125718, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.017433, "worst_return": -0.114332, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.112035, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.083735, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.073329, "worst_return": -0.150741, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 205.91, "volume": 11851284, "typical_volume": 11182002.1, "trend": 183.425043, "fair_value": 180.422929, "relative_strength": -0.720041, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 45.957793, "energy": 67.978937, "activity_lines": [ 194.727333, 186.393273, 180.22092, 181.199551 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 204.63, "volume": 14209364, "typical_volume": 11172991.55, "trend": 184.114074, "fair_value": 180.969699, "relative_strength": -1.248883, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 47.507284, "energy": 72.762813, "activity_lines": [ 200.052667, 190.608909, 182.76289, 182.567613 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 203.05, "volume": 10457647, "typical_volume": 11013895.6, "trend": 184.47714, "fair_value": 181.506466, "relative_strength": -6.096371, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 41.839736, "energy": 72.53459, "activity_lines": [ 202.669333, 193.960909, 185.102631, 183.789286 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }