{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "fd0f883b-0613-4b45-9e0a-0c811c0813d3",
    "symbol": "XD3E",
    "name": "Xtrackers Euro Stoxx Quality Dividend UCITS ETF 1D",
    "exchange": "MIL",
    "country": "IT",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 84.918,
    "architecture_energy": 80.96,
    "architecture_maturity": 40.505,
    "architecture_confidence": 76.462,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 0.17,
        "rotation_up": 75.74,
        "upward_expansion": 93.55,
        "deceleration": 45.68,
        "rotation_down": 19.95,
        "downward_expansion": 15.55
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        31.866,
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        30.862643,
        30.245528
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 32.185001,
    "trend_reference": 29.483032,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.091645,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 23.161625,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.389583,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -1.562527,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.133292,
    "excess_performance": -0.0376,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.091645,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.051833,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.389583,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.06557,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.015625,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.019094,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.133292,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 6.136741,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 15979,
      "relative_activity": 0.885852,
      "balance": 6.136741,
      "dry_up": 2.011088,
      "accumulation_observations": 5,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.014601,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.121425,
      "from_high_reference": -0.005562,
      "from_low_reference": 0.287461
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 29.483032,
      "fair_value_reference": 23.161625,
      "structural_low": 26.536081,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 42,
        "median_return": 0.005818,
        "positive_rate": 0.619048,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.619048,
        "median_excess_return": -0.008876,
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        "best_return": 0.07696,
        "worst_return": -0.117854,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "worst_return": -0.100253,
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      {
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      },
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      },
      {
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        "typical_volume": 16688.8,
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        "fair_value": 22.896081,
        "relative_strength": 0.025457,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "volume": 54842,
        "typical_volume": 17895.25,
        "trend": 29.190728,
        "fair_value": 22.98128,
        "relative_strength": 0.542981,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "direction": 80.309272,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 31.870001,
        "volume": 37692,
        "typical_volume": 18439.25,
        "trend": 29.333201,
        "fair_value": 23.071049,
        "relative_strength": 0.320102,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 79.936895,
        "energy": 74.649585,
        "activity_lines": [
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          30.06154
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 32.185001,
        "volume": 15979,
        "typical_volume": 18038.0,
        "trend": 29.483032,
        "fair_value": 23.161625,
        "relative_strength": -1.562527,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 84.91754,
        "energy": 80.960021,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}