{ "ticker": { "uuid": "fd0fa62f-6e6c-4336-8ffc-44d7ff83641a", "symbol": "300555", "name": "Lootom Telcovideo Network (wuxi) Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 75.241, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -54.155, "architecture_energy": 49.217, "architecture_maturity": 9.523, "architecture_confidence": 84.03, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 25.95, "rotation_up": 13.71, "upward_expansion": 9.38, "deceleration": 40.79, "rotation_down": 57.46, "downward_expansion": 80.38 }, "activity_lines": [ 12.286, 12.487091, 12.833762, 13.032516 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 12.54, "trend_reference": 13.47, "distance_from_trend": -0.069042, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 9.397692, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.33437, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -3.985032, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.136958, "excess_performance": -0.144358, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.069042, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.011908, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.33437, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.227818, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.03985, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.026226, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.136958, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.450797, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3064300, "relative_activity": 0.397811, "balance": 1.450797, "dry_up": 0.452251, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.088762, "annualized_volatility": 0.407327, "from_high_reference": -0.234432, "from_low_reference": 0.371991 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 13.47, "fair_value_reference": 9.397692, "structural_low": 11.66, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": 0.042276, "positive_rate": 0.6875, "directional_follow_through": 0.3125, "median_excess_return": 0.041253, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.14652, "worst_return": -0.091822, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.064669, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.285714, "median_excess_return": 0.075867, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.188873, "worst_return": -0.068429, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.068182, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": 0.102992, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.196457, "worst_return": -0.138249, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, 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"date": "2026-07-24", "close": 11.81, "volume": 2869200, "typical_volume": 8485015.95, "trend": 13.628, "fair_value": 9.322115, "relative_strength": -5.974438, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.360895, "energy": 43.516948, "activity_lines": [ 12.383333, 12.623455, 12.962857, 13.189204 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 12.2, "volume": 3347800, "typical_volume": 8075225.95, "trend": 13.540667, "fair_value": 9.358846, "relative_strength": -1.538783, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.368651, "energy": 50.378721, "activity_lines": [ 12.264667, 12.504727, 12.879762, 13.097075 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 12.54, "volume": 3064300, "typical_volume": 7702900.95, "trend": 13.47, "fair_value": 9.397692, "relative_strength": -3.985032, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.155484, "energy": 49.217354, "activity_lines": [ 12.286, 12.487091, 12.833762, 13.032516 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }