{ "ticker": { "uuid": "fd125b78-86c2-4823-a843-5c21838d0a39", "symbol": "ISRM", "name": "Amundi Label ISR Actions Monde UCITS ETF Acc", "exchange": "PAR", "country": "FR", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FCHI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 85.35, "architecture_energy": 68.37, "architecture_maturity": 77.029, "architecture_confidence": 75.399, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 24.56, "rotation_up": 53.79, "upward_expansion": 83.0, "deceleration": 71.41, "rotation_down": 29.49, "downward_expansion": 12.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 12.296867, 12.2596, 12.027114, 11.742135 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 12.564, "trend_reference": 11.418, "distance_from_trend": 0.100368, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 10.467843, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.200247, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 6.716633, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.159254, "excess_performance": 0.105943, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.100368, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.047302, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.200247, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.07407, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.067166, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.019303, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.159254, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.231881, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 21155, "relative_activity": 0.789744, "balance": 2.231881, "dry_up": 0.99991, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.017884, "annualized_volatility": 0.120225, "from_high_reference": 0.0, "from_low_reference": 0.266277 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 11.418, "fair_value_reference": 10.467843, "structural_low": 10.255, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.002305, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.003806, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.002305, "worst_return": 0.002305, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, 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12.301, "volume": 37077, "typical_volume": 24816.3, "trend": 11.2244, "fair_value": 10.380994, "relative_strength": 10.200954, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.753822, "energy": 84.870845, "activity_lines": [ 12.2724, 12.131891, 11.741938, 11.496226 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 12.103, "volume": 28690, "typical_volume": 24454.0, "trend": 11.271333, "fair_value": 10.401741, "relative_strength": 8.130369, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.805885, "energy": 67.014786, "activity_lines": [ 12.2316, 12.153309, 11.808552, 11.55291 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 12.178, "volume": 30887, "typical_volume": 25404.65, "trend": 11.319633, "fair_value": 10.422887, "relative_strength": 8.07221, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.773398, "energy": 64.973814, "activity_lines": [ 12.2078, 12.176673, 11.876824, 11.611404 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 12.148, "volume": 26407, "typical_volume": 26470.25, "trend": 11.366033, "fair_value": 10.443182, "relative_strength": 5.919697, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 53.241521, "energy": 56.331196, "activity_lines": [ 12.182933, 12.183636, 11.9355, 11.664847 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 12.564, "volume": 21155, "typical_volume": 26787.15, "trend": 11.418, "fair_value": 10.467843, "relative_strength": 6.716633, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 85.349552, "energy": 68.37002, "activity_lines": [ 12.296867, 12.2596, 12.027114, 11.742135 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }