{ "ticker": { "uuid": "fd16f82f-2b4e-42a5-9a8a-59f19c6a412a", "symbol": "BAI", "name": "Digilife Technologies Limited", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -85.472, "architecture_energy": 94.11, "architecture_maturity": 34.0, "architecture_confidence": 81.71, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.15, "rotation_up": 9.52, "upward_expansion": 21.97, "deceleration": 37.01, "rotation_down": 86.4, "downward_expansion": 99.97 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.632333, 0.677273, 0.742786, 0.800484 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 0.595, "trend_reference": 0.8755, "distance_from_trend": -0.320388, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 1.146186, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.480887, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -35.46186, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.392857, "excess_performance": -0.547692, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.320388, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.016841, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.480887, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.232561, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.354619, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.474502, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.392857, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.348837, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 600, "relative_activity": 0.316623, "balance": 0.348837, "dry_up": 0.435356, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.088559, "annualized_volatility": 0.627789, "from_high_reference": -0.491453, "from_low_reference": 0.19 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.8755, "fair_value_reference": 1.146186, "structural_low": 0.595, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 40, "median_return": -0.039023, "positive_rate": 0.35, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": -0.048533, "regime_survival": 0.9, "best_return": 0.455285, "worst_return": -0.243056, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.04, "positive_rate": 0.307692, "directional_follow_through": 0.692308, "median_excess_return": -0.097289, "regime_survival": 0.692308, "best_return": 0.503759, "worst_return": -0.214286, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.110526, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.091616, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.587302, "worst_return": -0.260355, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.066114, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.108878, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.285714, "worst_return": -0.37931, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2023-01-27", "end": "2023-03-03", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.089286, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2023-03-10", "end": "2023-05-19", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.109948, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2023-05-26", "end": "2023-08-11", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.072961, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2023-08-18", "end": "2023-09-01", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.062201, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2023-09-08", "end": "2024-08-02", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.363158, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-08-09", "end": "2024-09-13", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.335196, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-09-20", "end": "2025-12-05", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.568966, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-12-12", "end": "2026-01-16", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.328571, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-01-23", "end": "2026-03-20", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.047619, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-03-27", "end": "2026-04-03", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-04-10", "end": "2026-04-17", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.142857, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-04-24", "end": "2026-06-05", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.136612, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-06-12", "end": "2026-06-19", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.056962, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-06-26", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.242038, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 2.09, "volume": 8800, "typical_volume": 6110.0, "trend": 2.116333, "fair_value": 1.743141, "relative_strength": 18.830817, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", 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"gate": "down", "direction": -81.202858, "energy": 69.898121, "activity_lines": [ 0.762667, 0.791545, 0.837929, 0.879667 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 0.72, "volume": 1200, "typical_volume": 3090.0, "trend": 0.905667, "fair_value": 1.184487, "relative_strength": -20.487412, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.397736, "energy": 76.419845, "activity_lines": [ 0.743667, 0.773364, 0.82131, 0.867731 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.67, "volume": 600, "typical_volume": 2640.0, "trend": 0.901333, "fair_value": 1.174872, "relative_strength": -26.096366, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -81.099621, "energy": 88.912231, "activity_lines": [ 0.712667, 0.749364, 0.801976, 0.852527 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.67, "volume": 200, "typical_volume": 2065.0, "trend": 0.894667, "fair_value": 1.165385, "relative_strength": -26.739802, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.48541, "energy": 89.703065, "activity_lines": [ 0.689667, 0.730455, 0.784786, 0.837602 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.61, "volume": 1900, "typical_volume": 1905.0, "trend": 0.885667, "fair_value": 1.156218, "relative_strength": -33.399851, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -86.217708, "energy": 93.397317, "activity_lines": [ 0.657667, 0.703091, 0.763548, 0.819237 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.595, "volume": 600, "typical_volume": 1895.0, "trend": 0.8755, "fair_value": 1.146186, "relative_strength": -35.46186, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -85.472292, "energy": 94.109753, "activity_lines": [ 0.632333, 0.677273, 0.742786, 0.800484 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }