{ "ticker": { "uuid": "fd186c6d-6684-4b0c-90b0-ef5afbee67ea", "symbol": "00762", "name": "Yuanta STOXX Global Artificial Intelligence ETF", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 35.867, "architecture_energy": 26.153, "architecture_maturity": 72.168, "architecture_confidence": 77.281, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 41.28, "rotation_up": 23.38, "upward_expansion": 56.84, "deceleration": 91.16, "rotation_down": 31.43, "downward_expansion": 20.51 }, "activity_lines": [ 109.666667, 111.525454, 110.500238, 105.192258 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 112.099998, "trend_reference": 98.368334, "distance_from_trend": 0.139594, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 70.033333, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.600666, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -8.414392, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.294457, "excess_performance": -0.084855, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.139594, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.109605, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.600666, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.077031, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.084144, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.015535, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.294457, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.386419, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 760435, "relative_activity": 0.594013, "balance": 1.386419, "dry_up": 1.018616, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.055925, "annualized_volatility": 0.309768, "from_high_reference": -0.083402, "from_low_reference": 0.560195 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 98.368334, "fair_value_reference": 70.033333, "structural_low": 76.400002, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.003989, "positive_rate": 0.416667, "directional_follow_through": 0.416667, "median_excess_return": -0.004703, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.07274, "worst_return": -0.115479, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.015043, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.036354, "regime_survival": 0.142857, "best_return": 0.19646, "worst_return": -0.121327, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.248386, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": -0.010358, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.335294, "worst_return": -0.138276, "sufficient": true }, { 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3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 45.086901, "energy": 41.38872, "activity_lines": [ 111.976666, 113.787272, 108.54, 102.638065 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 109.400002, "volume": 923225, "typical_volume": 1285748.5, "trend": 96.608334, "fair_value": 69.208526, "relative_strength": -10.188132, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 39.608874, "energy": 29.806866, "activity_lines": [ 110.333333, 112.949091, 109.282381, 103.522258 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 107.800003, "volume": 1569146, "typical_volume": 1298667.4, "trend": 97.406667, "fair_value": 69.608782, "relative_strength": -10.062834, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 33.145909, "energy": 27.832891, "activity_lines": [ 108.976668, 111.812728, 109.746667, 104.244301 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 112.099998, "volume": 760435, "typical_volume": 1280165.0, "trend": 98.368334, "fair_value": 70.033333, "relative_strength": -8.414392, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 35.866742, "energy": 26.152819, "activity_lines": [ 109.666667, 111.525454, 110.500238, 105.192258 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }