{ "ticker": { "uuid": "fd1cf8c5-b897-45d5-a875-b13cf0801f48", "symbol": "MFB", "name": "My Food Bag Group Limited", "exchange": "NZE", "country": "NZ", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NZ50", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 70.661, "architecture_energy": 50.343, "architecture_maturity": 39.603, "architecture_confidence": 85.934, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 20.24, "rotation_up": 46.41, "upward_expansion": 78.92, "deceleration": 62.47, "rotation_down": 28.48, "downward_expansion": 7.92 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.287333, 0.286273, 0.278946, 0.266622 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 0.295, "trend_reference": 0.253917, "distance_from_trend": 0.161795, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.190544, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.5482, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 16.627081, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.204082, "excess_performance": 0.175808, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.161795, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.060128, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.5482, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.141209, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.166271, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.036667, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.204082, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 18.728537, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 650282, "relative_activity": 1.337083, "balance": 18.728537, "dry_up": 0.923542, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.048366, "annualized_volatility": 0.411807, "from_high_reference": -0.016667, "from_low_reference": 0.532794 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.253917, "fair_value_reference": 0.190544, "structural_low": 0.192459, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of 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"2025-05-30", "end": "2025-07-04", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.030897, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-07-11", "end": "2025-09-19", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.046512, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-09-26", "end": "2025-11-14", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.139535, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-11-21", "end": "2026-02-13", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.03219, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-02-20", "end": "2026-03-06", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.06383, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-03-13", "end": "2026-04-10", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.058525, "active": false }, { 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"gate": "up", "direction": 59.246833, "energy": 50.565305, "activity_lines": [ 0.285333, 0.284187, 0.267471, 0.25731 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.28, "volume": 351211, "typical_volume": 522095.35, "trend": 0.249417, "fair_value": 0.188409, "relative_strength": 12.954544, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 47.38717, "energy": 40.283784, "activity_lines": [ 0.283333, 0.284147, 0.270197, 0.259369 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.285, "volume": 572265, "typical_volume": 509094.85, "trend": 0.250918, "fair_value": 0.189081, "relative_strength": 13.828933, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 47.338467, "energy": 36.470599, "activity_lines": [ 0.283, 0.284561, 0.273137, 0.261665 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.285, "volume": 222877, "typical_volume": 481210.5, "trend": 0.252251, "fair_value": 0.18978, "relative_strength": 14.086006, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 48.150212, "energy": 38.72083, "activity_lines": [ 0.283333, 0.284518, 0.275768, 0.263864 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.295, "volume": 650282, "typical_volume": 486343.8, "trend": 0.253917, "fair_value": 0.190544, "relative_strength": 16.627081, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.661344, "energy": 50.342946, "activity_lines": [ 0.287333, 0.286273, 0.278946, 0.266622 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }