{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "fd20802a-abc4-4e50-b1c1-55c04b344e69",
    "symbol": "GREENPANEL",
    "name": "Greenpanel Industries Limited",
    "exchange": "NSI",
    "country": "IN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^NSEI",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -38.562,
    "architecture_energy": 19.235,
    "architecture_maturity": 38.656,
    "architecture_confidence": 88.333,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 44.34,
        "rotation_up": 21.7,
        "upward_expansion": 12.56,
        "deceleration": 40.91,
        "rotation_down": 37.4,
        "downward_expansion": 62.56
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        192.938881,
        192.865573,
        196.1999,
        198.220046
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 192.25,
    "trend_reference": 202.487708,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.05056,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 297.733824,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.354289,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -15.905564,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.140782,
    "excess_performance": -0.097073,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.05056,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.079887,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.354289,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.083069,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.159056,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.088258,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.140782,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.213672,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 597543,
      "relative_activity": 0.752087,
      "balance": 0.213672,
      "dry_up": 0.955514,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.073911,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.400495,
      "from_high_reference": -0.424056,
      "from_low_reference": 0.179376
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 202.487708,
      "fair_value_reference": 297.733824,
      "structural_low": 163.009995,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": 0.000691,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.008419,
        "regime_survival": 0.3,
        "best_return": 0.124671,
        "worst_return": -0.124816,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": -0.129824,
        "positive_rate": 0.428571,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.428571,
        "median_excess_return": -0.163541,
        "regime_survival": 0.285714,
        "best_return": 0.262195,
        "worst_return": -0.406953,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.149824,
        "positive_rate": 0.2,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.2,
        "median_excess_return": -0.230227,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
        "best_return": 0.072389,
        "worst_return": -0.243513,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.103793,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.214825,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.092921,
        "worst_return": -0.114665,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2024-08-09",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.141026,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2024-11-22",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "end": "2024-12-27",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2025-06-13",
        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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      {
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      {
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      },
      {
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 1214107,
        "typical_volume": 776862.45,
        "trend": 206.110491,
        "fair_value": 300.451027,
        "relative_strength": -16.002014,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -51.05054,
        "energy": 28.684352,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 193.736481,
        "volume": 552793,
        "typical_volume": 791352.35,
        "trend": 204.735708,
        "fair_value": 299.517041,
        "relative_strength": -13.596946,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -39.604137,
        "energy": 23.229973,
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          193.08085,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 193.020004,
        "volume": 672233,
        "typical_volume": 784006.55,
        "trend": 203.476374,
        "fair_value": 298.62184,
        "relative_strength": -15.489048,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -37.621313,
        "energy": 21.315072,
        "activity_lines": [
          193.068769,
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          196.742716,
          198.944328
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 192.25,
        "volume": 597543,
        "typical_volume": 794513.6,
        "trend": 202.487708,
        "fair_value": 297.733824,
        "relative_strength": -15.905564,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -38.56246,
        "energy": 19.235447,
        "activity_lines": [
          192.938881,
          192.865573,
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          198.220046
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}