{ "ticker": { "uuid": "fd3286fc-6856-4565-83ce-64aafab0e8f2", "symbol": "002382", "name": "Blue Sail Medical Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 70.987, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -43.458, "architecture_energy": 31.35, "architecture_maturity": 57.702, "architecture_confidence": 82.27, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 34.44, "rotation_up": 27.39, "upward_expansion": 17.63, "deceleration": 46.36, "rotation_down": 31.77, "downward_expansion": 65.3 }, "activity_lines": [ 5.712667, 5.586364, 5.987, 6.275505 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 5.98, "trend_reference": 6.438333, "distance_from_trend": -0.071188, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 5.755449, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.039015, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -5.855102, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.010135, "excess_performance": 0.002735, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.071188, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.000622, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.039015, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.16741, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.058551, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.000162, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.010135, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.948906, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 76986429, "relative_activity": 0.627524, "balance": 0.948906, "dry_up": 1.1089, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.088114, "annualized_volatility": 0.387471, "from_high_reference": -0.328844, "from_low_reference": 0.196 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6.438333, "fair_value_reference": 5.755449, "structural_low": 5.0, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 37, "median_return": 0.00532, "positive_rate": 0.513514, "directional_follow_through": 0.486486, "median_excess_return": 0.013082, "regime_survival": 0.864865, "best_return": 0.179601, "worst_return": -0.194661, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": -0.05583, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": -0.040551, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.363239, "worst_return": -0.273292, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.099722, "positive_rate": 0.125, "directional_follow_through": 0.875, "median_excess_return": -0.142231, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.203501, "worst_return": -0.348602, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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5.334, 5.688182, 6.362714, 6.466129 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 5.49, "volume": 172609990, "typical_volume": 140392980.65, "trend": 6.422333, "fair_value": 5.782115, "relative_strength": -11.666297, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.868296, "energy": 75.639179, "activity_lines": [ 5.358, 5.589455, 6.243667, 6.406602 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 5.43, "volume": 148434840, "typical_volume": 141145737.9, "trend": 6.414, "fair_value": 5.77109, "relative_strength": -12.405521, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.148837, "energy": 63.456562, "activity_lines": [ 5.378667, 5.508727, 6.121714, 6.342581 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 5.82, "volume": 146140560, "typical_volume": 140223725.7, "trend": 6.425667, "fair_value": 5.762436, "relative_strength": -4.136012, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -49.526019, "energy": 42.008647, "activity_lines": [ 5.540667, 5.523273, 6.042524, 6.304258 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 5.98, "volume": 76986429, "typical_volume": 122682825.9, "trend": 6.438333, "fair_value": 5.755449, "relative_strength": -5.855102, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.457901, "energy": 31.35038, "activity_lines": [ 5.712667, 5.586364, 5.987, 6.275505 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }