{ "ticker": { "uuid": "fd45a037-88d1-4f1b-8a8a-874f4f80abbf", "symbol": "RIGG34", "name": "Transocean Ltd.", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 48.336, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -58.108, "architecture_energy": 44.029, "architecture_maturity": 15.731, "architecture_confidence": 84.196, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 25.15, "rotation_up": 22.53, "upward_expansion": 6.83, "deceleration": 49.48, "rotation_down": 49.26, "downward_expansion": 77.83 }, "activity_lines": [ 26.834, 26.975091, 28.734191, 29.747613 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 26.9, "trend_reference": 30.199334, "distance_from_trend": -0.109252, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 25.850257, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.040609, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 2.563302, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.039286, "excess_performance": 0.017763, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.109252, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.064619, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.040609, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.142774, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.025633, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.193255, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.039286, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.202767, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 6733, "relative_activity": 0.457517, "balance": 0.202767, "dry_up": 0.57915, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.08656, "annualized_volatility": 0.519087, "from_high_reference": -0.307058, "from_low_reference": 0.765092 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 30.199334, "fair_value_reference": 25.850257, "structural_low": 25.0, "invalidation": 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"direction": -33.334091, "energy": 59.191866, "activity_lines": [ 27.538, 29.414, 30.84281, 30.710796 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 26.360001, "volume": 3689, "typical_volume": 17792.85, "trend": 29.536, "fair_value": 26.202564, "relative_strength": -0.792582, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -41.728516, "energy": 66.147063, "activity_lines": [ 26.857334, 28.612728, 30.326334, 30.51443 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 26.25, "volume": 11590, "typical_volume": 16548.0, "trend": 29.684, "fair_value": 26.123398, "relative_strength": 0.614278, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -39.474583, "energy": 66.455223, "activity_lines": [ 26.418667, 27.926364, 29.833429, 30.30243 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 27.25, "volume": 5407, "typical_volume": 14669.75, "trend": 29.852667, "fair_value": 26.04, "relative_strength": 3.833546, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -35.985471, "energy": 54.718242, "activity_lines": [ 26.644, 27.511273, 29.463191, 30.145398 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 26.85, "volume": 10362, "typical_volume": 14715.45, "trend": 30.063, "fair_value": 25.947692, "relative_strength": -0.36961, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.60792, "energy": 53.006407, "activity_lines": [ 26.752667, 27.171637, 29.07981, 29.951678 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 26.9, "volume": 6733, "typical_volume": 14716.4, "trend": 30.199334, "fair_value": 25.850257, "relative_strength": 2.563302, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.107587, "energy": 44.028574, "activity_lines": [ 26.834, 26.975091, 28.734191, 29.747613 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }