{ "ticker": { "uuid": "fd471299-e630-4fdc-9c10-6f33970fc915", "symbol": "WALL-B", "name": "Wallenstam AB (publ)", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 67.667, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Structural repair", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 26.857, "architecture_energy": 37.707, "architecture_maturity": 4.216, "architecture_confidence": 63.129, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 40.28, "rotation_up": 62.16, "upward_expansion": 47.56, "deceleration": 22.66, "rotation_down": 15.35, "downward_expansion": 20.23 }, "activity_lines": [ 41.424001, 40.77491, 40.333386, 40.547683 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 42.040001, "trend_reference": 40.906996, "distance_from_trend": 0.027697, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 45.248174, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.070902, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -10.697161, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.000975, "excess_performance": -0.06052, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.027697, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.013287, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.070902, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.045537, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.106972, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.063859, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.000975, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.462709, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2817248, "relative_activity": 0.98298, "balance": 1.462709, "dry_up": 0.965435, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.040913, "annualized_volatility": 0.249488, "from_high_reference": -0.080663, "from_low_reference": 0.120469 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 40.906996, "fair_value_reference": 45.248174, "structural_low": 37.52, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.059421, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.043732, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.002565, "worst_return": -0.156116, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.109808, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.135429, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.024797, "worst_return": -0.192126, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.167648, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.218937, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.083747, "worst_return": -0.251549, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }