{ "ticker": { "uuid": "fd544a27-8e01-4972-b4f4-c3772996a8d3", "symbol": "4021", "name": "Canadian General Medical Center Complex Company", "exchange": "SAU", "country": "SA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^TASI.SR", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 89.551, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -44.178, "architecture_energy": 30.914, "architecture_maturity": 17.828, "architecture_confidence": 79.035, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 37.03, "rotation_up": 18.67, "upward_expansion": 8.9, "deceleration": 44.85, "rotation_down": 57.76, "downward_expansion": 72.9 }, "activity_lines": [ 5.484, 5.578364, 5.585091, 5.613997 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 5.63, "trend_reference": 5.71381, "distance_from_trend": -0.014668, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 6.367145, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.115773, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -12.328188, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.09598, "excess_performance": -0.06415, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.014668, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.112664, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.115773, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.02445, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.123282, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.075257, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.09598, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.046248, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 7843549, "relative_activity": 1.845386, "balance": 1.046248, "dry_up": 1.251522, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.066266, "annualized_volatility": 0.269911, "from_high_reference": -0.385655, "from_low_reference": 0.086873 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 5.71381, "fair_value_reference": 6.367145, "structural_low": 5.18, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.011765, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.002563, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.400026, "worst_return": -0.108333, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.327941, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.300771, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.454348, "worst_return": 0.0654, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.346454, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.355445, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.414788, "worst_return": 0.27812, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, 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"Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-11-15", "end": "2024-12-06", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.248, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-12-13", "end": "2025-01-10", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.056757, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-01-17", "end": "2025-04-04", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.012857, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-04-11", "end": "2025-05-02", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.020218, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-05-09", "end": "2025-05-23", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.075865, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-05-30", "end": "2025-09-26", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.007353, "active": 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-15.537747, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -26.981629, "energy": 15.127113, "activity_lines": [ 5.716667, 5.681455, 5.633659, 5.676529 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 5.3, "volume": 2341961, "typical_volume": 3811490.75, "trend": 5.74854, "fair_value": 6.376599, "relative_strength": -17.653655, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -45.981746, "energy": 18.092261, "activity_lines": [ 5.577333, 5.623273, 5.604321, 5.645787 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 5.35, "volume": 2350760, "typical_volume": 3869960.65, "trend": 5.724209, "fair_value": 6.37149, "relative_strength": -14.930526, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.888044, "energy": 33.45181, "activity_lines": [ 5.476667, 5.574364, 5.580972, 5.620075 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 5.63, "volume": 7843549, "typical_volume": 4250356.95, "trend": 5.71381, "fair_value": 6.367145, "relative_strength": -12.328188, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -44.178477, "energy": 30.914381, "activity_lines": [ 5.484, 5.578364, 5.585091, 5.613997 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }