{ "ticker": { "uuid": "fd5d7ebc-cef3-4a1b-9d44-8c62dd73d802", "symbol": "603160", "name": "Shenzhen Goodix Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -63.266, "architecture_energy": 71.723, "architecture_maturity": 60.757, "architecture_confidence": 89.829, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 12.77, "rotation_up": 13.02, "upward_expansion": 15.7, "deceleration": 40.49, "rotation_down": 67.29, "downward_expansion": 86.7 }, "activity_lines": [ 51.996668, 54.021273, 57.300326, 60.629239 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 52.09, "trend_reference": 65.892283, "distance_from_trend": -0.209467, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 69.244497, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.247738, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -26.870966, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.351403, "excess_performance": -0.308199, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.209467, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.110045, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.247738, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.200086, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.26871, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.066021, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.351403, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.421993, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 26579054, "relative_activity": 1.011383, "balance": 0.421993, "dry_up": 1.326805, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 6 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.092896, "annualized_volatility": 0.335246, "from_high_reference": -0.401254, "from_low_reference": 0.077576 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 65.892283, "fair_value_reference": 69.244497, "structural_low": 48.34, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 29, "median_return": -0.02889, "positive_rate": 0.413793, "directional_follow_through": 0.586207, "median_excess_return": -0.014677, "regime_survival": 0.827586, "best_return": 0.322581, "worst_return": -0.162619, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.075796, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.008381, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.262921, "worst_return": -0.377186, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.150038, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.050056, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.608668, "worst_return": -0.341446, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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57.356862, 60.385208, 63.807854 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 49.200001, "volume": 33969970, "typical_volume": 25216748.9, "trend": 67.632533, "fair_value": 69.235229, "relative_strength": -29.739928, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -81.321302, "energy": 66.781759, "activity_lines": [ 53.664001, 55.615455, 59.060503, 62.559297 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 52.400002, "volume": 32440666, "typical_volume": 25822115.95, "trend": 66.773373, "fair_value": 69.263463, "relative_strength": -24.962379, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.526295, "energy": 65.825417, "activity_lines": [ 52.702001, 54.735637, 58.150516, 61.576553 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 52.09, "volume": 26579054, "typical_volume": 26279918.95, "trend": 65.892283, "fair_value": 69.244497, "relative_strength": -26.870966, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.265621, "energy": 71.722868, "activity_lines": [ 51.996668, 54.021273, 57.300326, 60.629239 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }