{ "ticker": { "uuid": "fd61bd1a-1803-403b-a46d-0805cb209215", "symbol": "300677", "name": "Intco Medical Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 95.871, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 18.043, "architecture_energy": 21.635, "architecture_maturity": 25.18, "architecture_confidence": 64.021, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 50.95, "rotation_up": 56.72, "upward_expansion": 35.05, "deceleration": 43.03, "rotation_down": 14.47, "downward_expansion": 19.05 }, "activity_lines": [ 48.602667, 46.127474, 46.84518, 47.962766 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 50.540001, "trend_reference": 47.862128, "distance_from_trend": 0.05595, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 30.854316, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.63802, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 11.119691, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.207358, "excess_performance": 0.199958, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.05595, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.030362, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.63802, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.119594, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.111197, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.034639, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.207358, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.768535, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 56832173, "relative_activity": 0.939441, "balance": 0.768535, "dry_up": 0.988016, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.10489, "annualized_volatility": 0.655914, "from_high_reference": -0.259969, "from_low_reference": 0.514796 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 47.862128, "fair_value_reference": 30.854316, "structural_low": 37.459999, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": 0.035869, "positive_rate": 0.526316, "directional_follow_through": 0.526316, "median_excess_return": 0.020928, "regime_survival": 0.578947, "best_return": 0.45625, "worst_return": -0.242602, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.046762, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.090486, "regime_survival": 0.125, "best_return": 0.465227, "worst_return": -0.428735, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.003275, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.052647, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.521616, "worst_return": -0.593395, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"typical_volume": 68379834.9, "trend": 47.144128, "fair_value": 30.480959, "relative_strength": 9.476664, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -9.736662, "energy": 10.057746, "activity_lines": [ 44.656667, 43.792869, 46.678359, 47.551685 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 50.450001, "volume": 63356664, "typical_volume": 64784410.8, "trend": 47.474128, "fair_value": 30.667381, "relative_strength": 17.004185, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 12.354267, "energy": 16.580068, "activity_lines": [ 47.019333, 44.981268, 46.730484, 47.764967 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 50.540001, "volume": 56832173, "typical_volume": 60495758.0, "trend": 47.862128, "fair_value": 30.854316, "relative_strength": 11.119691, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 18.042999, "energy": 21.634653, "activity_lines": [ 48.602667, 46.127474, 46.84518, 47.962766 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }