{ "ticker": { "uuid": "fd675edc-e1f4-470b-9b0a-00a69e4137d1", "symbol": "HWH", "name": "HWH International Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 25.275, "architecture_energy": 16.965, "architecture_maturity": 19.668, "architecture_confidence": 46.965, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 47.75, "rotation_up": 42.66, "upward_expansion": 45.01, "deceleration": 40.23, "rotation_down": 30.55, "downward_expansion": 12.68 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.402667, 1.385455, 1.301554, 1.289622 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 1.49, "trend_reference": 1.326027, "distance_from_trend": 0.123658, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2.89771, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.485801, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -23.165406, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.0, "excess_performance": -0.187454, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.123658, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.071925, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.485801, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.165367, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.231654, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.239151, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.0, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 23.818849, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 202597, "relative_activity": 0.093254, "balance": 23.818849, "dry_up": 0.055743, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.205576, "annualized_volatility": 0.993092, "from_high_reference": -0.808237, "from_low_reference": 0.693182 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.326027, "fair_value_reference": 2.89771, "structural_low": 0.88, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.572548, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.550152, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 1.00641, "worst_return": 0.138686, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.715328, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.638063, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.715328, "worst_return": 0.715328, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.29927, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.189671, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.29927, "worst_return": 0.29927, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 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"color": "amber", "start": "2025-12-26", "end": "2026-01-02", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.040268, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-01-09", "end": "2026-06-05", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.389313, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-06-12", "end": "2026-07-10", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.316384, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-07-17", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.221311, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2024-01-12", "close": 10.3, "volume": 1962093, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-01-19", "close": 8.2495, 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29.643746, "activity_lines": [ 1.424, 1.318953, 1.244859, 1.288782 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 1.21, "volume": 222108, "typical_volume": 2171438.2, "trend": 1.353127, "fair_value": 2.943823, "relative_strength": -38.69266, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 5.055951, "energy": 14.996742, "activity_lines": [ 1.356667, 1.314393, 1.24157, 1.277591 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 1.22, "volume": 76546, "typical_volume": 2164315.65, "trend": 1.339793, "fair_value": 2.930764, "relative_strength": -35.184409, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -27.628937, "energy": 15.122393, "activity_lines": [ 1.281333, 1.309105, 1.240709, 1.269002 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.42, "volume": 112531, "typical_volume": 2163212.8, "trend": 1.33746, "fair_value": 2.919404, "relative_strength": -23.142583, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -16.68096, "energy": 10.658991, "activity_lines": [ 1.309333, 1.337455, 1.259229, 1.274176 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.42, "volume": 92737, "typical_volume": 2165515.4, "trend": 1.333127, "fair_value": 2.908215, "relative_strength": -23.334069, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 1.092288, "energy": 3.468323, "activity_lines": [ 1.346667, 1.358364, 1.27713, 1.279502 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.49, "volume": 202597, "typical_volume": 2172531.9, "trend": 1.326027, "fair_value": 2.89771, "relative_strength": -23.165406, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 25.275195, "energy": 16.964942, "activity_lines": [ 1.402667, 1.385455, 1.301554, 1.289622 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }