{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "fd68cf01-f9c1-4cd1-a85d-b8e531032fe3",
    "symbol": "GRU",
    "name": "Geely Automobile Holdings Limited",
    "exchange": "VIE",
    "country": "AT",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^ATX",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 90.055,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 59.842,
    "architecture_energy": 46.695,
    "architecture_maturity": 12.976,
    "architecture_confidence": 56.669,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 21.75,
        "rotation_up": 67.3,
        "upward_expansion": 82.34,
        "deceleration": 50.93,
        "rotation_down": 11.58,
        "downward_expansion": 6.68
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        2.1136,
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        1.99189,
        1.98054
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 2.0685,
    "trend_reference": 1.947372,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.062201,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 1.407559,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.469565,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -15.013862,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.164041,
    "excess_performance": -0.010206,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.062201,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.021139,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.469565,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.019561,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.150139,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.030939,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.164041,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.02687,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 218,
      "relative_activity": 0.405997,
      "balance": 0.02687,
      "dry_up": 0.124779,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.073393,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.642634,
      "from_high_reference": -0.206255,
      "from_low_reference": 0.333844
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    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 1.947372,
      "fair_value_reference": 1.407559,
      "structural_low": 1.550781,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 23,
        "median_return": -0.029396,
        "positive_rate": 0.391304,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.391304,
        "median_excess_return": -0.039739,
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        "worst_return": -0.243231,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
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        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
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        "worst_return": -0.363587,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.377609,
        "sufficient": false
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        "activity_lines": [
          2.096166,
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          1.99083,
          1.965003
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 1.907415,
        "volume": 150,
        "typical_volume": 659.0,
        "trend": 1.953546,
        "fair_value": 1.298599,
        "relative_strength": -16.614864,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 21.188298,
        "energy": 21.701269,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.006174,
          2.064999,
          1.987717,
          1.961587
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 1.89476,
        "volume": 3020,
        "typical_volume": 760.0,
        "trend": 1.947471,
        "fair_value": 1.306727,
        "relative_strength": -18.10776,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -4.08243,
        "energy": 20.413162,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.935537,
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          1.957794
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 1.817298,
        "volume": 1680,
        "typical_volume": 844.0,
        "trend": 1.939314,
        "fair_value": 1.314444,
        "relative_strength": -20.70826,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -14.723441,
        "energy": 26.856356,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.884227,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 1.641282,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 684.0,
        "trend": 1.922457,
        "fair_value": 1.321076,
        "relative_strength": -29.320653,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -38.498015,
        "energy": 39.647479,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.792244,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 1.591046,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 674.0,
        "trend": 1.907058,
        "fair_value": 1.327292,
        "relative_strength": -32.969985,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -41.426201,
        "energy": 58.479527,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.711279,
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          1.911622,
          1.908787
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 1.566504,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 674.0,
        "trend": 1.894092,
        "fair_value": 1.332472,
        "relative_strength": -32.908485,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Structural failure",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -75.689246,
        "energy": 77.569845,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.643327,
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          1.886815
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 2.1125,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 673.5,
        "trend": 1.899859,
        "fair_value": 1.340987,
        "relative_strength": -11.716076,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -8.695652,
        "energy": 21.518547,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.780101,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 2.062,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 623.5,
        "trend": 1.906409,
        "fair_value": 1.34957,
        "relative_strength": -16.98335,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 17.602935,
        "energy": 10.578128,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.885526,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 1.9264,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 623.5,
        "trend": 1.907922,
        "fair_value": 1.357096,
        "relative_strength": -20.594675,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 10.050515,
        "energy": 15.984075,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.929437,
          1.856681,
          1.915408,
          1.912657
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 2.045,
        "volume": 1,
        "typical_volume": 623.55,
        "trend": 1.912205,
        "fair_value": 1.365294,
        "relative_strength": -17.38329,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 28.375039,
        "energy": 33.769338,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.993874,
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          1.926386,
          1.9215
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 2.098,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 623.55,
        "trend": 1.917722,
        "fair_value": 1.373923,
        "relative_strength": -13.733404,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 55.7877,
        "energy": 55.5826,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.045713,
          1.937366,
          1.941324,
          1.933487
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 2.064,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 623.55,
        "trend": 1.924722,
        "fair_value": 1.38243,
        "relative_strength": -12.923947,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 60.293727,
        "energy": 58.588395,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.050787,
          1.971642,
          1.951718,
          1.942924
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 2.1265,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 603.55,
        "trend": 1.934672,
        "fair_value": 1.390568,
        "relative_strength": -10.967649,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.733155,
        "energy": 66.208442,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.079927,
          2.014205,
          1.966539,
          1.955942
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 2.189,
        "volume": 50,
        "typical_volume": 541.05,
        "trend": 1.941572,
        "fair_value": 1.399237,
        "relative_strength": -7.914081,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.577454,
        "energy": 68.65368,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.1256,
          2.06251,
          1.985569,
          1.972351
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 2.0685,
        "volume": 218,
        "typical_volume": 536.95,
        "trend": 1.947372,
        "fair_value": 1.407559,
        "relative_strength": -15.013862,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 59.841857,
        "energy": 46.695016,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.1136,
          2.078947,
          1.99189,
          1.98054
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}