{ "ticker": { "uuid": "fd6b2f3e-4c37-45d1-9e4e-b4d60ebdc12e", "symbol": "S9B", "name": "Amcorp Global Limited", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 76.746, "architecture_energy": 63.395, "architecture_maturity": 17.518, "architecture_confidence": 75.924, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 30.76, "rotation_up": 62.22, "upward_expansion": 81.57, "deceleration": 51.08, "rotation_down": 21.9, "downward_expansion": 22.24 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.1046, 0.102436, 0.101029, 0.100398 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 0.119, "trend_reference": 0.099667, "distance_from_trend": 0.19398, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.112282, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.059831, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -2.715079, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.252632, "excess_performance": 0.097796, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.19398, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.018046, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.059831, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.190481, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.027151, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.125907, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.252632, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.706454, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 65800, "relative_activity": 2.18387, "balance": 1.706454, "dry_up": 1.481082, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.045895, "annualized_volatility": 0.340165, "from_high_reference": -0.070313, "from_low_reference": 0.676056 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.099667, "fair_value_reference": 0.112282, "structural_low": 0.071, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.285714, "median_excess_return": 0.013514, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.05, "worst_return": -0.172414, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.02439, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.063656, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.166667, "worst_return": -0.241379, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.02439, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.147206, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.2, "worst_return": -0.206897, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-10-17", "end": "2025-10-31", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.045455, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-11-07", "end": "2026-02-27", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.01, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-03-06", "end": "2026-07-31", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.040404, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-08-07", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 0.145, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 5715.0, "trend": 0.120833, "fair_value": 0.120821, "relative_strength": 21.09155, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 93.758025, "energy": 97.809033, 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"balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "up", "direction": 39.116395, "energy": 17.498665, "activity_lines": [ 0.100267, 0.099982, 0.099638, 0.099323 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.099, "volume": 51000, "typical_volume": 23960.0, "trend": 0.098867, "fair_value": 0.112872, "relative_strength": -17.979124, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "up", "direction": 35.597346, "energy": 15.314031, "activity_lines": [ 0.099933, 0.099836, 0.0996, 0.09934 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.099, "volume": 4700, "typical_volume": 24045.0, "trend": 0.098867, "fair_value": 0.112769, "relative_strength": -18.558251, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "up", "direction": 23.651583, "energy": 15.072981, "activity_lines": [ 0.099667, 0.099691, 0.099562, 0.099348 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.095, "volume": 57000, "typical_volume": 26840.0, "trend": 0.098867, "fair_value": 0.112449, "relative_strength": -21.742037, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -30.580769, "energy": 26.136495, "activity_lines": [ 0.098, 0.098836, 0.099143, 0.099099 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.119, "volume": 65800, "typical_volume": 30130.0, "trend": 0.099667, "fair_value": 0.112282, "relative_strength": -2.715079, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 76.746007, "energy": 63.395298, "activity_lines": [ 0.1046, 0.102436, 0.101029, 0.100398 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }